URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
Referee: L. Gonzalez
Racing Montevideo
Match Timeline
Cerro Largo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
S. Da Silva
Racing Montevideo
🔄
18'
Brazionis ↔ Y. Oyarzo
Racing Montevideo
🔄
18'
L. Correa ↔ A. Piegas
Cerro Largo
🟨
27'
Agustín Álvarez
Racing Montevideo
🟨
37'
Sebastián Assis
Cerro Largo
🟨
45'
Tiziano Correa
Cerro Largo
🟨
52'
Alexander Hernandez
Cerro Largo
🟨
62'
Esteban Da Silva
Racing Montevideo
🟨
64'
Sebastián da Silva
Racing Montevideo
🟨
65'
Sebastián da Silva
Racing Montevideo
🟥
65'
Sebastián da Silva
Racing Montevideo
🔄
69'
E. Da Silva ↔ E. De Los Santos
Racing Montevideo
🔄
69'
A. Alvarez Wallace ↔ J. Bosca
Racing Montevideo
🔄
69'
F. Suarez ↔ N. Sosa
Racing Montevideo
🔄
69'
A. Hernandez ↔ D. Daguerre
Cerro Largo
🟨
74'
Juan Bosca Fraquelli
Racing Montevideo
🔄
84'
F. Sellecchia ↔ G. Viera
Cerro Largo
🔄
88'
A. Vazquez ↔ L. Loprete
Racing Montevideo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Racing Montevideo Win 57.8%
Draw 14.1%
Cerro Largo Win 28.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Montevideo1.43
Cerro Largo1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo
WWDLW
23 GF / 14 GA
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
WLDWL
16 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.07
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
9
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 15 matches
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 15 matches
Racing Montevideo Statistic Cerro Largo
9 Wins 5
4 Draws 2
2 Losses 8
23 Goals For 16
14 Goals Against 19
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
9 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Racing Montevideo's more proactive style and Cerro Largo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cerro Largo. Cerro Largo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Racing Montevideo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 31 points compared to Cerro Largo in 12 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Racing Montevideo Analysis

Racing Montevideo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 31 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 23:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Habib (4 goals), F. Alvarez (2 goals), G. Cotugno (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Cerro Largo Analysis

Cerro Largo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 17 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 16:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Pandiani (4 goals), T. Correa (4 goals), D. Daguerre (3 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Racing Montevideo won 7 times, Cerro Largo won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Racing Montevideo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
Predicted formations: Racing Montevideo 4-4-2 / Cerro Largo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Racing Montevideo wins 7, draws 3, Cerro Largo wins 5

Lineups

Racing Montevideo
Formation
Cerro Largo
F. Varese
F. Varese
G. Cotugno
G. Cotugno
Brazionis
Brazionis
F. Alvarez
F. Alvarez
M. Ferreira
M. Ferreira
A. Alvarez Wallace
A. Alvarez Wallace
F. Cairus
F. Cairus
A. Vazquez
A. Vazquez
E. Da Silva
E. Da Silva
S. Da Silva
S. Da Silva
F. Suarez
F. Suarez
P. M. Gonzalez Ojeda
P. M. Gonzalez Ojeda
A. Hernandez
A. Hernandez
L. Correa
L. Correa
M. Fracchia
M. Fracchia
S. Franca
S. Franca
M. Garcia
M. Garcia
S. Assis
S. Assis
S. Marcel
S. Marcel
M. Anasco
M. Anasco
F. Sellecchia
F. Sellecchia
T. Correa
T. Correa
Racing Montevideo 4-3-3
Starting XI
12
F. Varese
G
4
G. Cotugno
D
3
Brazionis
↓ 18'
D
13
F. Alvarez
D
17
M. Ferreira
D
21
A. Alvarez Wallace
↓ 69' 🟨 27'
M
8
F. Cairus
M
39
A. Vazquez
↓ 88'
M
10
E. Da Silva
↓ 69' 🟨 62'
M
33
S. Da Silva
⚽ 14' 🟨 64' 🟨 65' 🟥 65'
F
11
F. Suarez
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
1
F. Machado
G
14
E. De Los Santos
↑ 69'
M
37
Y. Oyarzo
↑ 18'
M
19
R. Dudok
F
5
J. Bosca
↑ 69' 🟨 74'
M
7
J. Varela
M
27
L. Loprete
↑ 88'
40
A. Atum
M
77
B. Tomatis
F
23
N. Sosa
↑ 69'
M
Cerro Largo 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
P. M. Gonzalez Ojeda
17
A. Hernandez
↓ 69' 🟨 52'
D
14
L. Correa
↓ 18'
D
16
M. Fracchia
D
20
S. Franca
D
8
M. Garcia
M
15
S. Assis
🟨 37'
M
5
S. Marcel
M
11
M. Anasco
M
19
F. Sellecchia
↓ 84'
F
9
T. Correa
🟨 45'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Moreno
G
2
G. F. Chocobar
D
3
A. Piegas
↑ 18'
D
28
N. Ramos
D
4
F. Souza
D
22
N. Bertocchi
M
25
E. Jourdan
M
7
G. Viera
↑ 84'
M
13
B. Barone
F
18
D. Daguerre
↑ 69'
F
Last matches: Racing Montevideo
06.06.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
2
1
W
26.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Albion FC
3
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
4
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
07.11.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Miramar
2
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
1
2
L
Last matches: Cerro Largo
08.06.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
29.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Cerro
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Boston River
3
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Penarol
2
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Progreso
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Boston River
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Cerro
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
2
2
D
30.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Danubio
2
0
W
24.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
0
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
3
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
3
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Juventud
1
0
W
07.11.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
2
0
W
03.11.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
H2H: Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo
17.05.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
26.04.26
H2H
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
2
2
D
28.04.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
29.03.24
H2H
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
0
2
W
07.03.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
0
W
25.11.23
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
15.07.23
H2H
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
2
0
L
21.04.23
H2H
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
2
1
L
16.11.19
H2H
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
2
1
L
13.07.19
H2H
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
3
0
L
11.05.19
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
13.04.14
H2H
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
W
10.11.13
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
Last matches: Racing Montevideo
30.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
2
1
W
26.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
4
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
02.11.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
1
2
L
20.10.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
0
0
D
05.10.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
29.09.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
1
4
L
17.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
03.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
1
0
W
18.09.22
Seg
Racing Montevideo
Miramar
0
2
L
02.09.22
Seg
Racing Montevideo
SUD America
4
2
W
24.08.22
Seg
Racing Montevideo
Atenas
0
0
D
H2H at home: Racing Montevideo
17.05.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
28.04.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
07.03.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
0
W
25.11.23
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
11.05.19
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
10.11.13
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
Last matches: Cerro Largo
08.06.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Progreso
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Boston River
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
2
2
D
24.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
0
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
3
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Juventud
1
0
W
03.11.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
19.10.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
CA River Plate
1
1
D
04.10.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
1
2
L
20.09.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
07.09.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Cerro
1
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Miramar
1
1
D
09.08.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Progreso
2
1
W
02.08.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Juventud
2
0
W
20.10.18
Seg
Cerro Largo
Villa Teresa
3
2
W
13.10.18
Seg
Cerro Largo
Cerrito
1
0
W
22.09.18
Seg
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
0
0
D
H2H away: Cerro Largo
17.05.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
L
28.04.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
07.03.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
0
L
25.11.23
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
L
11.05.19
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
L
10.11.13
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
1
W

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 35:20 15 39
W W D W W
2 19 10 7 2 25:15 10 37
D D D W L
3 19 11 3 5 28:18 10 36
W L W W W
4 19 9 5 5 29:20 9 32
W L L D W
5 19 10 1 8 31:26 5 31
W L W W W
6 19 9 4 6 27:25 2 31
D W L W W
7 19 8 5 6 29:24 5 29
L W W L W
8 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
D W D D W
9 19 6 7 6 22:20 2 25
D W D L L
10 19 7 3 9 21:20 1 24
D W W L L
11 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
D D L L L
12 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
D L L W L
13 19 4 8 7 20:27 -7 20
D D L L L
14 19 5 4 10 23:30 -7 19
D L L W W
15 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
L W L L L
16 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13
L L W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)