Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Racing Montevideo
15 matches
Cerro Largo
15 matches
| Racing Montevideo | Statistic | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 8 |
| 23 | Goals For | 16 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.07 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Racing Montevideo's more proactive style and Cerro Largo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cerro Largo. Cerro Largo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Racing Montevideo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 31 points compared to Cerro Largo in 12 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Racing Montevideo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 31 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 23:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Habib (4 goals), F. Alvarez (2 goals), G. Cotugno (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Cerro Largo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 17 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 16:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Pandiani (4 goals), T. Correa (4 goals), D. Daguerre (3 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Racing Montevideo won 7 times, Cerro Largo won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Racing Montevideo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Lineups
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo
Miramar
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Juventud
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Plaza Colonia
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Miramar
Racing Montevideo
SUD America
Racing Montevideo
Atenas
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Juventud
Cerro Largo
Plaza Colonia
Cerro Largo
CA River Plate
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Miramar
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Juventud
Cerro Largo
Villa Teresa
Cerro Largo
Cerrito
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Racing Montevideo
Home
|
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
Cerro Largo
Away
|
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|