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03.05.2026 18:30
Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
Referee: Andres Matonte, Uruguay
Racing Montevideo
Match Timeline
Atletico Torque
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
M. Ferreira
Racing Montevideo
⚽
20'
N. Da Silva
Atletico Torque
🟥
27'
Álex Vázquez
Racing Montevideo
🔄
46'
S. Da Silva ↔ Y. Oyarzo
Racing Montevideo
🔄
46'
F. Martinez ↔ R. Lecchini
Atletico Torque
🟨
63'
Tomas Habib
Racing Montevideo
🔄
65'
S. Caceres ↔ F. Silvera
Atletico Torque
🔄
65'
E. Aguero ↔ S. Rodriguez
Atletico Torque
🔄
66'
T. Habib ↔ N. Sosa
Racing Montevideo
🟨
72'
Nicolas Perez
Atletico Torque
🔄
72'
F. Gonzalez ↔ E. Da Silva
Racing Montevideo
🟥
74'
Diogo Guzmán
Atletico Torque
🔄
80'
N. Da Silva ↔ E. Obregon
Atletico Torque
🔄
81'
J. Bosca ↔ J. Varela
Racing Montevideo
🔄
81'
J. Quintana ↔ P. Siles
Atletico Torque
🟨
87'
José Tarán
Atletico Torque
🟨
90+6'
Salomón Rodríguez
Atletico Torque

Racing Montevideo vs Atletico Torque Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Racing Montevideo Win 64.4%
Draw 5.3%
Atletico Torque Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Montevideo1.45
Atletico Torque1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo
WWDLW
22 GF / 11 GA
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
WLDWL
19 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.46
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
8
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 13 matches
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 13 matches
Racing Montevideo Statistic Atletico Torque
9 Wins 5
3 Draws 4
1 Losses 4
22 Goals For 19
11 Goals Against 14
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
8 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Racing Montevideo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 30 points compared to Atletico Torque in 7 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Racing Montevideo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Atletico Torque in 5-2-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Torque having the stronger overall control. Racing Montevideo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atletico Torque.

Racing Montevideo Analysis

Racing Montevideo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 30 points after 13 outings. With 9 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:11, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by T. Habib (4 goals), F. Alvarez (2 goals), G. Cotugno (2 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Atletico Torque Analysis

Atletico Torque sit 7 with 19 points after 13 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 19:14 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Salomón Rodríguez (6 goals), E. Obregon (3 goals), F. Pizzichillo (2 goals), with creative support from Gonzalo Montes (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Racing Montevideo won 3 times, Atletico Torque won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Racing Montevideo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Racing Montevideo 4-4-2 / Atletico Torque 5-2-3
H2H summary: Racing Montevideo wins 3, draws 3, Atletico Torque wins 2

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 19 7 6 51:26 25 63
D W D W W
2 32 17 8 7 50:28 22 59
D W W W L
3 32 17 6 9 53:37 16 57
W L D L W
4 32 17 4 11 48:38 10 55
W W W W D
5 32 14 11 7 36:27 9 53
L L L D W
6 32 13 11 8 43:31 12 50
D W W D L
7 32 14 8 10 41:39 2 50
L W W D D
8 32 11 7 14 42:42 0 40
W W L L L
9 32 10 10 12 37:39 -2 40
W D D W D
10 32 10 8 14 32:43 -11 38
L L L L D
11 32 10 6 16 26:47 -21 36
W L D L W
12 32 8 11 13 30:39 -9 35
L L W L W
13 32 9 7 16 32:43 -11 34
W D L L L
14 32 8 9 15 29:37 -8 33
L L L L D
15 32 5 14 13 26:41 -15 29
L W L D D
16 32 8 5 19 28:47 -19 29
D L W W L
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