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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
13.06.2026 20:00
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
Quilmes
Match Timeline
Gimnasia Y Tiro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45'
J. Galetto
Gimnasia Y Tiro
⚽
45'
A. Lavezzi
Quilmes
🔄
46'
N. Rinaldi ↔ A. Tallura
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
61'
J. Capano ↔ N. Contin
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
64'
M. Guanini
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
65'
A. Batista
Quilmes
🟨
66'
G. Diaz
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
66'
A. Batista ↔ M. Fernandez
Quilmes
🔄
72'
F. Sivetti ↔ M. Birge
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
72'
J. Galetto ↔ J. Rocca
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
76'
A. Spetale
Quilmes
🔄
77'
U. Vera ↔ R. Martinez
Quilmes
🔄
77'
A. Spetale ↔ A. Dominguez
Quilmes
🟨
79'
M. Guanini
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟥
79'
M. Guanini
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
82'
J. Aguirre ↔ R. Villarreal
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
86'
A. Bolivar ↔ J. Postigo
Quilmes
🔄
86'
A. Lavezzi ↔ G. Vazquez
Quilmes

Quilmes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
70.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Quilmes Win 63.5%
Draw 7.4%
Gimnasia Y Tiro Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quilmes0.97
Gimnasia Y Tiro0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quilmes Quilmes
WWDLW
14 GF / 11 GA
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro
WLDWL
16 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
0.89
0.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
3
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quilmes Quilmes 16 matches
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 18 matches
Quilmes Statistic Gimnasia Y Tiro
4 Wins 5
6 Draws 6
6 Losses 7
14 Goals For 16
11 Goals Against 20
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
0.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
3 BTTS Yes 9
6 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 5
10 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Quilmes's more proactive style and Gimnasia Y Tiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gimnasia Y Tiro having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gimnasia Y Tiro.

Quilmes Analysis

With 17 points from 15 games and a place of 14, Quilmes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 14:11, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Gimnasia Y Tiro Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Gimnasia Y Tiro have collected 20 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 16:18 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Quilmes won 1 times, Gimnasia Y Tiro won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Quilmes's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
H2H summary: Quilmes wins 1, draws 1, Gimnasia Y Tiro wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 15 14 4 32:15 17 59
D D W D D
2 32 15 11 6 38:26 12 56
W L W D W
3 32 17 4 11 38:30 8 55
W W D W W
4 32 15 9 8 48:40 8 54
L D D W W
5 33 14 9 10 38:26 12 51
W D L W W
6 32 13 9 10 32:28 4 48
L W L D W
7 32 13 8 11 39:31 8 47
W W D D D
8 33 13 8 12 32:31 1 47
D W W L W
9 32 12 9 11 34:32 2 45
L L W D L
10 32 10 13 9 35:32 3 43
W D L W L
11 33 11 9 13 27:34 -7 42
L L L W L
12 33 11 8 14 30:39 -9 41
W W L L D
13 33 10 10 13 27:35 -8 40
W D L W L
14 33 10 9 14 30:28 2 39
L D W L W
15 32 9 9 14 23:30 -7 36
L W D L W
16 32 6 16 10 27:32 -5 34
L W D D D
17 33 9 6 18 25:35 -10 33
L W L W L
18 32 5 8 19 23:54 -31 23
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation