Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
53.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Qingdao Youth Island
Shandong Luneng
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Qingdao Youth Island
25 matches
Shandong Luneng
23 matches
| Qingdao Youth Island | Statistic | Shandong Luneng |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 12 |
| 13 | Draws | 3 |
| 5 | Losses | 8 |
| 27 | Goals For | 42 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.83 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.48 | Shots On Goal | 4.96 |
| 10.78 | Total Shots | 14.04 |
| 4.26 | Corners | 4.3 |
| 44.7% | Ball Possession | 49.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Shandong Luneng's more proactive style and Qingdao Youth Island's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Shandong Luneng. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Qingdao Youth Island expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Shandong Luneng in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shandong Luneng having the stronger overall control.
Qingdao Youth Island come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 33 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 12 draws, and 4 losses, while the 26:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Samir Memisevic (1 goals), Xinli Peng (1 goals), Nelson Luz (1 goals), with creative support from Davidson (1 assists), Yu Dong (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 33 points from 23 games, Shandong Luneng bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 42:38, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Cryzan (1 goals), with creative support from Songchen Shi (1 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Qingdao Youth Island won 2 times, Shandong Luneng won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:16 from Qingdao Youth Island's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51:30 | 21 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49:33 | 16 | 38 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54:51 | 3 | 38 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Qingdao Youth Island
Home
|
26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31:32 | -1 | 38 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
| 6 |
Shandong Luneng
Away
|
26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46:43 | 3 | 37 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52:46 | 6 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 31 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 31 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 28 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:35 | -2 | 27 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 25 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 34:53 | -19 | 14 |
L
L
L
L
L
|