Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Progreso Win 0%
Draw 0%
Danubio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Progreso0.97
Danubio1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Progreso
WWDLW
18 GF / 37 GA
Danubio
WLDWL
22 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
10
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Progreso
24 matches
Danubio
24 matches
| Progreso | Statistic | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 11 |
| 16 | Losses | 9 |
| 18 | Goals For | 22 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 6 times, Danubio won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Progreso's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Progreso 4-2-3-1 / Danubio 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Progreso wins 6, draws 7, Danubio wins 2
Last matches: Progreso
16.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
Last matches: Danubio
14.08.26
Pri
Danubio
Boston River
0
0
D
09.08.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro
0
1
L
01.08.26
Pri
Danubio
Albion FC
2
2
D
24.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
11.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
0
0
D
05.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
1
1
D
05.06.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
1
2
L
18.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Albion FC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Central Espanol
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
30.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
4
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Penarol
1
1
D
H2H: Progreso vs Danubio
30.05.26
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
2
W
28.02.26
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
24.08.25
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
W
31.05.25
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
0
1
L
23.02.25
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
1
D
12.10.24
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
0
0
D
06.04.24
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
1
D
31.08.22
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
15.02.21
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
0
1
W
22.08.20
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
W
19.10.19
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
11.08.19
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
0
W
31.03.19
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
3
2
L
22.07.18
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
04.02.18
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
1
D
Last matches: Progreso
16.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
3
L
01.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
5
L
19.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
2
3
L
05.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
2
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Miramar
3
2
W
24.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
W
09.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
1
2
L
29.11.23
Seg
Progreso
Albion FC
3
2
W
H2H at home: Progreso
24.08.25
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
W
31.05.25
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
0
1
L
12.10.24
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
0
0
D
31.08.22
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
22.08.20
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
W
19.10.19
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
11.08.19
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
0
W
04.02.18
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
1
D
Last matches: Danubio
14.08.26
Pri
Danubio
Boston River
0
0
D
01.08.26
Pri
Danubio
Albion FC
2
2
D
24.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
05.06.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
0
0
D
18.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Central Espanol
2
2
D
30.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Penarol
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
0
4
L
09.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro
1
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
2
1
W
17.10.25
Pri
Danubio
Boston River
0
0
D
05.10.25
Pri
Danubio
Penarol
0
2
L
19.09.25
Pri
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
06.09.25
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
2
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
0
1
L
18.08.25
Pri
Danubio
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
H2H away: Danubio
24.08.25
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
L
31.05.25
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
0
1
W
12.10.24
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
0
0
D
31.08.22
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
22.08.20
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
L
19.10.19
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
L
11.08.19
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
0
L
04.02.18
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
1
D
Standings
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 37:20 | 17 | 46 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 40:24 | 16 | 45 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 31:19 | 12 | 45 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 39 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 35 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35:33 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 34 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 30 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 27 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17:35 | -18 | 25 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:35 | -9 | 24 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 |
Danubio
Away
|
24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
| 16 |
Progreso
Home
|
24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18:37 | -19 | 16 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
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