URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Parque Abraham Paladino
Referee: P. Silveira
Progreso
Match Timeline
Atletico Torque
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
N. Da Silva
Atletico Torque
🟨
26'
Ayrton Cougo
Progreso
34'
N. Lopez
Progreso
🟨
37'
Kevin Silva
Atletico Torque
🔄
46'
D. Guzman ↔ S. Rodriguez
Atletico Torque
🟨
50'
Agustin Pinheiro
Progreso
🟨
62'
Mauro Martín
Progreso
🔄
62'
J. Quintana ↔ L. Andrade
Atletico Torque
🟨
69'
Mauro Martín
Progreso
🟥
69'
Mauro Martín
Progreso
🔄
72'
N. Fernandez ↔ F. Garcia
Progreso
🔄
72'
A. Cougo ↔ F. Kidd
Progreso
🔄
72'
J. Dos Santos ↔ G. Silva
Progreso
🔄
74'
S. Caceres ↔ B. Kociubinski
Atletico Torque
🟨
78'
Santiago Viera
Progreso
79'
S. Rodriguez
Atletico Torque
🟨
83'
Gary Silva
Progreso
🟨
84'
Gastón Rodríguez
Atletico Torque
🔄
84'
S. Viera ↔ D. Sanchez
Progreso
🔄
88'
N. Perez ↔ F. Romero
Atletico Torque
🔄
88'
N. Da Silva ↔ E. Aguero
Atletico Torque
🟨
90+8'
Ignacio Lemmo
Progreso
🟨
90'
Federico García
Progreso
🔄
90+4'
A. Pinheiro ↔ I. Lemmo
Progreso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Progreso Win 25.7%
Draw 17.5%
Atletico Torque Win 56.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Progreso0.9
Atletico Torque1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Progreso Progreso
WWDLW
12 GF / 25 GA
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
WLDWL
23 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
6
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Progreso Progreso 16 matches
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 16 matches
Progreso Statistic Atletico Torque
2 Wins 6
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 5
12 Goals For 23
25 Goals Against 18
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
6 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Atletico Torque's more proactive style and Progreso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico Torque. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Progreso have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Atletico Torque carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 23 points while Progreso sit 15 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Progreso expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Torque in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Torque having the stronger overall control.

Progreso Analysis

Progreso sit 15 with 10 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 12:23, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through M. Copelotti (2 goals), N. Lopez (2 goals), D. Sanchez (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Torque Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Atletico Torque have collected 23 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 22:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Salomón Rodríguez (6 goals), E. Obregon (3 goals), N. Da Silva (3 goals), with creative support from Gonzalo Montes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 5 times, Atletico Torque won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:25 from Progreso's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.5%)
Predicted formations: Progreso 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Torque 4-3-3
H2H summary: Progreso wins 5, draws 3, Atletico Torque wins 7

Lineups

Progreso
Formation
Atletico Torque
A. Requena
A. Requena
M. Martin
M. Martin
H. Carroso
H. Carroso
G. Silva
G. Silva
A. Cougo
A. Cougo
S. Viera
S. Viera
A. Colombino
A. Colombino
A. Pinheiro
A. Pinheiro
N. Fernandez
N. Fernandez
J. Dos Santos
J. Dos Santos
N. Lopez
N. Lopez
G. Rodriguez
G. Rodriguez
N. Perez
N. Perez
K. Silva
K. Silva
J. Taran
J. Taran
E. Busquets
E. Busquets
S. Caceres
S. Caceres
P. Siles
P. Siles
D. Guzman
D. Guzman
J. Quintana
J. Quintana
N. Da Silva
N. Da Silva
R. Lecchini
R. Lecchini
Progreso 4-3-3
Starting XI
33
A. Requena
G
15
M. Martin
🟨 62' 🟨 69' 🟥 69'
D
13
H. Carroso
D
27
G. Silva
D
40
A. Cougo
↓ 72' 🟨 26'
D
24
S. Viera
↓ 84' 🟨 78'
M
8
A. Colombino
M
5
A. Pinheiro
↓ 90+4' 🟨 50'
M
29
N. Fernandez
↓ 72'
M
25
J. Dos Santos
↓ 72'
F
11
N. Lopez
⚽ 34'
M
Substitutes
1
A. Mehring
G
16
G. Trasante
D
3
F. Garcia
↑ 72' 🟨 90'
D
14
F. Kidd
↑ 72'
D
7
F. Fernandez
M
10
I. Lemmo
↑ 90+4' 🟨 90+8'
M
18
G. Silva
M
30
A. Codagnone
M
9
G. Silva
↑ 72' 🟨 83'
F
93
D. Sanchez
↑ 84'
F
Atletico Torque 4-3-3
Starting XI
13
G. Rodriguez
🟨 84'
G
21
N. Perez
↓ 88'
D
3
K. Silva
🟨 37'
D
27
J. Taran
D
15
E. Busquets
D
32
S. Caceres
↓ 74'
M
8
P. Siles
M
19
D. Guzman
↓ 46'
M
30
J. Quintana
↓ 62'
M
11
N. Da Silva
⚽ 25' ↓ 88'
F
18
R. Lecchini
F
Substitutes
12
M. Aguiar
2
F. Romero
↑ 88'
D
24
G. Kagelmacher
D
17
E. Aguero
↑ 88'
D
5
F. Pizzichillo
D
14
B. Kociubinski
↑ 74'
M
20
G. Montes
M
23
L. Dure
M
7
L. Andrade
↑ 62'
9
S. Rodriguez
⚽ 79' ↑ 46'
F
Last matches: Progreso
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
3
L
09.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
5
L
Last matches: Atletico Torque
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
3
L
24.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
26.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
4
0
W
17.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
2
D
07.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Penarol
1
3
L
09.11.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Penarol
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
5
0
W
H2H: Progreso vs Atletico Torque
23.05.26
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
10.05.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
L
01.11.25
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
5
L
13.06.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Progreso
3
1
L
04.05.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
3
W
29.10.23
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
05.10.22
H2H
Atletico Torque
Progreso
1
2
W
04.12.21
H2H
Atletico Torque
Progreso
1
0
L
20.08.21
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
4
L
17.01.21
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
15.02.20
H2H
Atletico Torque
Progreso
1
3
W
28.07.18
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
3
1
W
10.02.18
H2H
Atletico Torque
Progreso
0
3
W
04.11.17
H2H
Atletico Torque
Progreso
0
0
D
10.06.17
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
2
L
Last matches: Progreso
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
3
L
01.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
5
L
19.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
2
3
L
05.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
2
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Miramar
3
2
W
24.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
W
09.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
1
2
L
H2H at home: Progreso
23.05.26
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
01.11.25
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
5
L
29.10.23
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
20.08.21
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
4
L
17.01.21
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
28.07.18
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
3
1
W
10.06.17
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
2
L
Last matches: Atletico Torque
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
24.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
4
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Penarol
1
3
L
01.11.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
5
0
W
24.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
28.09.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
0
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
1
0
W
31.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Plaza Colonia
4
2
W
17.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
CA River Plate
2
0
W
02.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
5
L
H2H away: Atletico Torque
23.05.26
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
W
01.11.25
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
5
W
29.10.23
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
20.08.21
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
4
W
17.01.21
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
28.07.18
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
3
1
L
10.06.17
H2H
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
2
W

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 35:20 15 39
W W D W W
2 19 10 7 2 25:15 10 37
D D D W L
3 19 11 3 5 28:18 10 36
W L W W W
4 19 9 5 5 29:20 9 32
W L L D W
5 19 10 1 8 31:26 5 31
W L W W W
6 19 9 4 6 27:25 2 31
D W L W W
7 19 8 5 6 29:24 5 29
L W W L W
8 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
D W D D W
9 19 6 7 6 22:20 2 25
D W D L L
10 19 7 3 9 21:20 1 24
D W W L L
11 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
D D L L L
12 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
D L L W L
13 19 4 8 7 20:27 -7 20
D D L L L
14 19 5 4 10 23:30 -7 19
D L L W W
15 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
L W L L L
16 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13
L L W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)