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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
14.10.2026 17:00
Preussenstadion

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Preußen Münster Win 46.7%
Draw 27.9%
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win 25.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Preußen Münster1.59
Fortuna Düsseldorf2.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Preußen Münster Preußen Münster
WWDLW
27 GF / 20 GA
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf
WLDWL
36 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.08
Average Goals Scored
2.57
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
10
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
8
2.63
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 13 matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 14 matches
Preußen Münster Statistic Fortuna Düsseldorf
7 Wins 9
3 Draws 1
3 Losses 4
27 Goals For 36
20 Goals Against 12
2.08 Avg Goals Scored 2.57
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
10 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 4
2.63 Shots On Goal 2
7.25 Total Shots 7
2.63 Corners 2.29
31.6% Ball Possession 33.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Preußen Münster expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Fortuna Düsseldorf in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortuna Düsseldorf having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fortuna Düsseldorf. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Preußen Münster Analysis

So far, Preußen Münster have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 11 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 12:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fortuna Düsseldorf Analysis

Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 10 with 10 points after 7 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 6:7 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Preußen Münster won 1 times, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Preußen Münster's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.6%)
Predicted formations: Preußen Münster 3-4-2-1 / Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Preußen Münster wins 1, draws 1, Fortuna Düsseldorf wins 2

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 19:7 12 18
W W L W W
2 7 5 0 2 19:9 10 15
W W W L W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W W
4 7 4 1 2 19:12 7 13
W D L W L
5 7 4 1 2 14:8 6 13
W W D L W
6 7 3 3 1 15:15 0 12
D W L D W
7 8 3 3 2 15:16 -1 12
D L D W W
8 7 3 2 2 11:8 3 11
W L D W L
9 7 3 1 3 11:10 1 10
W L W L L
10 7 3 1 3 6:7 -1 10
L W W D W
11 7 3 1 3 10:13 -3 10
W D W W L
12 7 2 3 2 8:8 0 9
W L D D W
13 7 2 2 3 6:9 -3 8
L D D W L
14 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
L L W L W
15 7 2 1 4 12:15 -3 7
D L L W L
16 7 2 1 4 11:15 -4 7
L W L L L
17 7 2 0 5 8:15 -7 6
L L L L W
18 7 1 2 4 13:17 -4 5
D L D L L
19 7 1 2 4 5:13 -8 5
L W L D D
20 7 1 1 5 10:15 -5 4
L L D L W
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation