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VENEZUELA › PRIMERA DIVISIóN
10.10.2026 21:00
Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez

Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 44.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
44.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Portuguesa FC Win 40.8%
Draw 14.8%
Deportivo La Guaira Win 44.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portuguesa FC1.3
Deportivo La Guaira1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC
WWDLW
43 GF / 33 GA
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
WLDWL
49 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
17
BTTS Yes
22
14
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 31 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 38 matches
Portuguesa FC Statistic Deportivo La Guaira
12 Wins 13
12 Draws 14
7 Losses 11
43 Goals For 49
33 Goals Against 44
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
17 BTTS Yes 22
23 Over 1.5 28
14 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 8
11 Clean Sheets 13
6 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 3.17
0 Total Shots 8.67
0 Corners 3.5
0% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo La Guaira. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Deportivo La Guaira arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portuguesa FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Deportivo La Guaira in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo La Guaira having the stronger overall control.

Portuguesa FC Analysis

From their first 24 matches, Portuguesa FC have collected 37 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 34:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Deportivo La Guaira Analysis

Deportivo La Guaira sit 3 with 43 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 36:22 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
Predicted formations: Portuguesa FC 4-4-2 / Deportivo La Guaira 4-3-3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 16 5 3 41:19 22 53
W W W W W
2 24 14 5 5 41:26 15 47
W D L W W
3 24 12 7 5 36:22 14 43
L L L W D
4 24 11 5 8 36:31 5 38
D W W D D
5 24 9 10 5 35:22 13 37
D W W W L
6 24 9 10 5 34:24 10 37
L W D D D
7 24 9 9 6 31:23 8 36
W D L D D
8 24 10 6 8 33:30 3 36
D L W L D
9 24 5 11 8 24:31 -7 26
D L L W D
10 24 7 4 13 26:35 -9 25
D W W L W
11 24 6 7 11 24:35 -11 25
L L L D L
12 24 7 4 13 30:46 -16 25
D W D L W
13 24 3 6 15 21:44 -23 15
D L W L L
14 24 3 5 16 21:45 -24 14
D L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2