04.10.2026 18:45
Estádio do Dragão
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Portugal
Match Timeline
Norway
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
João Cancelo
Portugal
⚽
36'
Kristoffer Ajer · Assist: Martin Odegaard
Norway
⚽
38'
João Cancelo · Assist: Nuno Mendes
Portugal
🔄
63'
João Cancelo ↔ Diogo Dalot
Portugal
🔄
63'
João Palhinha ↔ Rúben Neves
Portugal
🔄
67'
Erling Haaland ↔ Jörgen Strand Larsen
Norway
🔄
74'
Antonio Nusa ↔ Oscar Bobb
Norway
⚽
79'
Gonçalo Ramos · Assist: Joao Felix
Portugal
🟨
86'
Francisco Conceicao
Portugal
🟥
86'
Francisco Conceicao
Portugal
🔄
86'
Vitinha ↔ Bernardo Silva
Portugal
🔄
87'
Patrick Berg ↔ Thelo Aasgaard
Norway
🟨
88'
Bruno Fernandes
Portugal
🔄
90+2'
Joao Felix ↔ Nuno Tavares
Portugal
🔄
90+2'
Bruno Fernandes ↔ Francisco Trincão
Portugal

Portugal vs Norway Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 59.8%
Odds 2.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.42
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
59.8%
2.25 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.42 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.27 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
10.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Portugal Win 40.3%
Draw 19.1%
Norway Win 40.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portugal1.7
Norway1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portugal Portugal
WWDLW
21 GF / 8 GA
Norway Norway
WLDWL
23 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.77
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
6
BTTS Yes
12
6
Over 2.5
11
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portugal Portugal 12 matches
Norway Norway 13 matches
Portugal Statistic Norway
8 Wins 6
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 5
21 Goals For 23
8 Goals Against 21
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
6 BTTS Yes 12
8 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 11
2 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.46
13.33 Total Shots 11.85
5 Corners 5.08
57.3% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Portugal 4-1-3-2 / Norway 4-2-3-1

Standings

League A - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 9:4 5 12
W W W W
2 4 2 0 2 7:7 0 6
W L W L
3 4 1 0 3 2:5 -3 3
L W L L
4 4 1 0 3 6:8 -2 3
L L L W
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Possible Play-off