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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
24.05.2026 01:30
Providence Park
Referee: T. Ford
Portland Timbers
Match Timeline
San Jose Earthquakes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
P. Judd · Assist: J. Skahan
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
12'
P. Judd · Assist: N. Fernandez
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
18'
Antony · Assist: D. Da Costa
Portland Timbers
⚽
24'
D. Munie · Assist: J. Skahan
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
41'
R. Roberts
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
45+2'
B. Kikanovic
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
46'
B. Kikanovic ↔ J. Jasinski
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
46'
N. Fernandez ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
51'
K. Miller
Portland Timbers
🔄
56'
K. Miller ↔ I. Smith
Portland Timbers
🔄
63'
P. Judd ↔ D. Johnson
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
69'
J. Skahan ↔ P. Marie
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
70'
J. Ortiz ↔ A. Aravena
Portland Timbers
🔄
70'
B. Bye ↔ J. Mosquera
Portland Timbers
🟨
73'
R. Vieira
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
82'
J. Ricketts ↔ D. Romney
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
83'
K. Kelsy ↔ F. Mora
Portland Timbers
🔄
83'
Antony ↔ A. Lassiter
Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Portland Timbers Win 36.5%
Draw 10.7%
San Jose Earthquakes Win 52.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers1.37
San Jose Earthquakes1.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WWDLW
29 GF / 34 GA
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WLDWL
37 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
2.06
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1
11
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
9
4.15
Shots on Goal
5.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 18 matches
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 18 matches
Portland Timbers Statistic San Jose Earthquakes
5 Wins 12
4 Draws 2
9 Losses 4
29 Goals For 37
34 Goals Against 18
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 2.06
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1
11 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 2
4.15 Shots On Goal 5.57
11.92 Total Shots 14.43
4.31 Corners 7.43
48.5% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by San Jose Earthquakes's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Jose Earthquakes. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. San Jose Earthquakes carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 29 points while Portland Timbers sit 12 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Portland Timbers Analysis

So far, Portland Timbers have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 14 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, while the 21:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Kelsy (5 goals), K. Velde (4 goals), A. Lassiter (2 goals), with creative support from K. Kelsy (2 assists), C. Bassett (2 assists), D. Da Costa (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 29 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 31:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Judd (9 goals), O. Bouda (5 goals), T. Werner (4 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (4 assists), P. Marie (4 assists), T. Werner (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 7 times, San Jose Earthquakes won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:22 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
Predicted formations: Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1 / San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Portland Timbers 5, San Jose Earthquakes 6
H2H summary: Portland Timbers wins 7, draws 2, San Jose Earthquakes wins 6

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 6 7 61:30 31 51
D L D W L
2 28 14 8 6 54:38 16 50
W W W W D
3 28 13 8 7 52:45 7 47
L W D W W
4 28 13 7 8 50:40 10 46
D W D W W
5 28 13 6 9 36:34 2 45
D L D L W
6 29 11 9 9 44:31 13 42
D L D L W
7 28 11 8 9 38:35 3 41
W W W W D
8 28 11 4 13 39:39 0 37
D L D W D
9 29 9 9 11 39:50 -11 36
L W W D L
10 28 9 6 13 51:54 -3 33
D L L L D
11 28 9 5 14 41:46 -5 32
L W L L L
12 28 8 8 12 48:51 -3 32
L D D L L
13 28 7 10 11 36:51 -15 31
L D D W D
14 28 7 9 12 42:51 -9 30
D L L L L
15 28 6 4 18 35:68 -33 22
D L W L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)