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BRAZIL › SERIE B
18.05.2026 22:00
Moisés Lucarelli
Referee: Thaillan Azevedo Gomes, Brazil
Ponte Preta
Match Timeline
Londrina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
Iago Teles · Assist: Bruno Santos
Londrina
🟨
35'
Tarik
Ponte Preta
🔄
46'
David da Hora ↔ Miguel Morais
Ponte Preta
🔄
46'
Tarik ↔ Elvis
Ponte Preta
🟨
52'
Julio
Ponte Preta
🔄
65'
Julio ↔ Luis Phelipe
Ponte Preta
🔄
65'
Willian Pottker ↔ Rodriguinho
Ponte Preta
⚽
66'
Bruno Santos · Assist: Thalis
Londrina
🟨
69'
Miguel
Ponte Preta
🔄
70'
Thalis ↔ Joao Tavares
Londrina
🟨
72'
David Braz
Ponte Preta
VAR
74'
Lucas Marques
Londrina
🟥
76'
Lucas Marques
Londrina
🟨
78'
Danilo Barcelos
Ponte Preta
🔄
80'
David Braz ↔ Jonathan Cafu
Ponte Preta
🔄
80'
Iago Teles ↔ Paulinho Moccelin
Londrina
🔄
80'
Vitinho Mota ↔ Andre Cardoso
Londrina
🔄
83'
Rafael Monteiro ↔ Weverton
Londrina
🔄
83'
Andre Dhominique ↔ Kaue Leonardo
Londrina
🟨
86'
Diego Tavares
Ponte Preta
⚽
88'
Andre Cardoso · Assist: Bruno Santos
Londrina
⚽
90'
Joao Tavares · Assist: Paulinho Moccelin
Londrina
⚽
90'
Miguel Morais · Assist: Diego Tavares
Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta vs Londrina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 82.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 49%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
82.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
53.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
49%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ponte Preta Win 46.2%
Draw 36.8%
Londrina Win 17.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ponte Preta1.15
Londrina1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
WWDLW
6 GF / 12 GA
Londrina Londrina
WLDWL
8 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
2.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 8 matches
Londrina Londrina 8 matches
Ponte Preta Statistic Londrina
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
5 Losses 5
6 Goals For 8
12 Goals Against 14
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 2.75
11.13 Total Shots 11.5
5.25 Corners 6.88
45.9% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ponte Preta expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Londrina in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Londrina. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Ponte Preta Analysis

Ponte Preta sit 18 with 7 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 6:12 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Willian Pottker (2 goals), Bryan Borges (1 goals), Danilo Barcelos (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), Brandao (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 5 points from 8 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 8:14, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Santos (3 goals), Andre Luiz (1 goals), E. Rodriguez (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (1 assists), Iago (1 assists), Vitinho Mota (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 7 times, Londrina won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (82.9%)
Predicted formations: Ponte Preta 4-3-2-1 / Londrina 4-3-3
H2H summary: Ponte Preta wins 7, draws 1, Londrina wins 6

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 18 8 8 48:33 15 62
D W D W W
2 34 17 10 7 61:30 31 61
D W W W D
3 34 17 10 7 41:23 18 61
D D W W W
4 34 16 12 6 41:29 12 60
W D W D D
5 34 17 8 9 35:28 7 59
W W L W W
6 34 14 12 8 42:32 10 54
D D L W W
7 34 15 7 12 51:48 3 52
L D W L W
8 34 13 12 9 45:37 8 51
L D W W L
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 34 13 9 12 44:46 -2 48
L L L L D
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 34 12 10 12 46:37 9 46
L D L W D
13 34 12 8 14 38:38 0 44
W W W L W
14 34 10 14 10 40:39 1 44
D D L L D
15 34 11 10 13 37:42 -5 43
D L W W D
16 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
17 34 10 7 17 33:43 -10 37
D W W L L
18 33 7 8 18 42:49 -7 29
D L L L L
19 34 5 5 24 22:54 -32 20
W L L L L
20 34 3 5 26 19:74 -55 14
D L L L L
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