Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw |
34.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
37.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
- |
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ponte Preta
10 matches
Botafogo SP
10 matches
| Ponte Preta | Statistic | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 5 |
| 9 | Goals For | 11 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 0.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.1 | Shots On Goal | 3.2 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 9.6 |
| 5.8 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 44% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Botafogo SP. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ponte Preta expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Botafogo SP in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo SP having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Ponte Preta sit 19 with 7 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 9:20 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Willian Pottker (2 goals), Bryan Borges (1 goals), Danilo Barcelos (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Botafogo SP sit 17 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 11:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Everton Morelli (6 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Luizão (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (3 assists), Rafael Gava (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 6 times, Botafogo SP won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:9 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 57 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 53 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 52 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 4 | 51 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 1 | 48 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 47 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 42 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 |
Botafogo SP
Away
|
32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | -2 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 17 | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | -11 | 33 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | -32 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Home
|
32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | -51 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
L
|