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BRAZIL › SERIE B
01.06.2026 22:00
Moisés Lucarelli
Referee: Edina Alves Batista, Brazil
Ponte Preta
Match Timeline
Botafogo SP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Luis Phelipe
Ponte Preta
🟥
-5'
Luis Phelipe
Ponte Preta
VAR
30'
Diego Tavares
Ponte Preta
🟨
32'
William Pottker
Ponte Preta
🟥
32'
Diego Tavares
Ponte Preta
🔄
32'
Marcio Silva ↔ Weverton
Ponte Preta
🟨
52'
Leandro Maciel
Botafogo SP
🟨
53'
André Lima
Ponte Preta
🔄
60'
Leandro Maciel ↔ Arthur Caike
Botafogo SP
🔄
60'
Kelvin ↔ Jefferson Nem
Botafogo SP
🔄
62'
David da Hora ↔ Baianinho
Ponte Preta
🔄
62'
Tarik ↔ Leo Gomes
Ponte Preta
🔄
62'
Danilo Barcelos ↔ Kevyson
Ponte Preta
🟨
64'
Vilar
Botafogo SP
🟨
72'
Daniel Baianinho
Ponte Preta
🔄
75'
Vilar ↔ Pedro Henrique
Botafogo SP
🔄
76'
Ze Hugo ↔ Wesley Santos
Botafogo SP
🔄
77'
Willian Pottker ↔ S. Palacios
Ponte Preta
🔄
86'
Rafael Gava ↔ Thiago Moraes
Botafogo SP

Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 34.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 37.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
34.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
37.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
45.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ponte Preta Win 29.1%
Draw 34.1%
Botafogo SP Win 36.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ponte Preta0.98
Botafogo SP1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
WWDLW
9 GF / 20 GA
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WLDWL
11 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.1
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
4
4.1
Shots on Goal
3.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 10 matches
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 10 matches
Ponte Preta Statistic Botafogo SP
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 3
7 Losses 5
9 Goals For 11
20 Goals Against 11
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
6 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
4.1 Shots On Goal 3.2
11.5 Total Shots 9.6
5.8 Corners 5.6
46% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Botafogo SP. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ponte Preta expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Botafogo SP in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo SP having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ponte Preta Analysis

Ponte Preta sit 19 with 7 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 9:20 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Willian Pottker (2 goals), Bryan Borges (1 goals), Danilo Barcelos (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botafogo SP Analysis

Botafogo SP sit 17 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 11:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Everton Morelli (6 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Luizão (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (3 assists), Rafael Gava (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 6 times, Botafogo SP won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:9 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (70.9%)
Predicted formations: Ponte Preta 4-3-2-1 / Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ponte Preta wins 6, draws 5, Botafogo SP wins 4

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 37:19 18 59
W W W L L
2 32 17 7 8 44:31 13 58
D W W W D
3 32 16 9 7 54:27 27 57
W W D L D
4 32 15 11 6 37:27 10 56
W D D W D
5 32 15 8 9 33:28 5 53
L W W L L
6 32 14 10 8 40:30 10 52
L W W L W
7 32 15 6 11 49:45 4 51
W L W L W
8 32 13 11 8 44:34 10 50
W W L W L
9 32 13 9 10 44:43 1 48
L L D W D
10 32 11 14 7 32:25 7 47
D W L W D
11 32 13 6 13 32:40 -8 45
W L L W W
12 32 12 9 11 44:34 10 45
L W D W W
13 32 11 9 12 39:40 -1 42
L D W L D
14 32 11 9 12 35:39 -4 42
W W D W D
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 32 10 8 14 36:38 -2 38
W L W D L
17 32 9 6 17 32:43 -11 33
W L L L D
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 32 4 5 23 21:53 -32 17
L L L L L
20 32 3 4 25 17:68 -51 13
L L L W L
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