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UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
08.05.2026 15:00
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Referee: D. Punchyshyn
Polessya
Match Timeline
Oleksandria
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
59'
D. Vlasyuk ↔ N. Prokopenko
Oleksandria
🔄
65'
O. Andriyevski ↔ O. Fedor
Polessya
🔄
69'
L. Emerllahu ↔ O. Nazarenko
Polessya
🔄
69'
I. Krasnopir ↔ M. Gayduchyk
Polessya
⚽
71'
M. Gayduchyk
Polessya
🔄
77'
D. Vashchenko ↔ D. Myshnyov
Oleksandria
🔄
77'
T. Cara ↔ H. Touati
Oleksandria
🔄
77'
B. Castillo ↔ D. Kremchanin
Oleksandria
⚽
82'
P. Yade · Assist: S. Buletsa
Oleksandria
🔄
87'
G. Maisuradze ↔ M. Kravchenko
Polessya
🔄
87'
M. Bragaru ↔ O. Filippov
Polessya
🔄
88'
S. Buletsa ↔ D. Shostak
Oleksandria
⚽
90'
O. Filippov · Assist: O. Gutsulyak
Polessya

Polessya vs Oleksandria Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 91.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
91.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Polessya Win 91.9%
Draw 0%
Oleksandria Win 8.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Polessya1.87
Oleksandria0.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Polessya Polessya
WWDLW
56 GF / 28 GA
Oleksandria Oleksandria
WLDWL
18 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
0.67
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
2.04
11
BTTS Yes
10
16
Over 2.5
12
3.72
Shots on Goal
1.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Polessya Polessya 32 matches
Oleksandria Oleksandria 27 matches
Polessya Statistic Oleksandria
18 Wins 2
4 Draws 7
10 Losses 18
56 Goals For 18
28 Goals Against 55
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 2.04
11 BTTS Yes 10
24 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 8
16 Clean Sheets 1
8 Failed To Score 16
3.72 Shots On Goal 1.4
10.21 Total Shots 4.08
3.76 Corners 1.92
38.3% Ball Possession 24.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Polessya's more proactive style and Oleksandria's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Oleksandria. Polessya arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 52 points compared to Oleksandria in 15 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Oleksandria arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Polessya Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 52 points from 26 games, Polessya bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 16 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 45:17, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Gayduchyk (8 goals), O. Gutsulyak (8 goals), Eduard Sarapiyy (5 goals), with creative support from O. Gutsulyak (5 assists), O. Nazarenko (2 assists), Oleksandr Andriyevskyi (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Oleksandria Analysis

With 13 points from 26 games and a place of 15, Oleksandria still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats with a 18:52 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Tedi Cara (4 goals), Hussayn Touati (3 goals), Bryan Castillo (2 goals), with creative support from S. Buletsa (3 assists), Tedi Cara (2 assists), Hussayn Touati (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Polessya won 3 times, Oleksandria won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Polessya's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Polessya 4-1-4-1 / Oleksandria 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Polessya wins 3, draws 1, Oleksandria wins 3

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga