Plymouth vs Burton Albion Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.6%
|
1.52 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.70 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.61 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.1%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.38 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Plymouth
Burton Albion
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Plymouth
13 matches
Burton Albion
12 matches
| Plymouth | Statistic | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 5 |
| 2 | Losses | 4 |
| 27 | Goals For | 14 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 2.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.14 | Shots On Goal | 3.14 |
| 14.57 | Total Shots | 9.57 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 40.9% | Ball Possession | 44.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Plymouth's more proactive style and Burton Albion's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Burton Albion. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Plymouth expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Burton Albion in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Burton Albion having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Plymouth sit 7 with 10 points after 6 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:8 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on W. Evans (2 goals), A. Pepple (2 goals), H. White (1 goals), with creative support from H. White (1 assists), Julio Pleguezuelo (1 assists), C. Watts (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Burton Albion sit 11 with 8 points after 6 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:10 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Delap (2 goals), C. Webster (1 goals), K. Chauke (1 goals), with creative support from K. Lofthouse (3 assists), J. Armer (1 assists), Sulyman Krubally (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Plymouth won 5 times, Burton Albion won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Plymouth's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Plymouth
Home
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 14 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 7 | 13 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 12 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Burton Albion
Away
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 12 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 11 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 10 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:18 | -10 | 8 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 22 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
L
|