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POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
10.05.2026 10:15
Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach
Referee: D. Sylwestrzak
Piast Gliwice
Match Timeline
GKS Katowice
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
56'
E. Jirka ↔ M. Wdowiak
GKS Katowice
🔄
67'
J. Lokilo ↔ O. Lesniak
Piast Gliwice
🔄
67'
J. Felix ↔ G. Barkovskiy
Piast Gliwice
VAR
77'
Filip Borowski
GKS Katowice
🔄
78'
H. Vallejo ↔ L. Sanca
Piast Gliwice
🔄
85'
Q. Boisgard ↔ A. Katsantonis
Piast Gliwice
🔄
85'
E. Markovic ↔ M. Wedrychowski
GKS Katowice
🔄
85'
M. Kowalczyk ↔ D. Rasak
GKS Katowice
🟨
87'
Jakub Lewicki
Piast Gliwice
🔄
88'
I. Shkurin ↔ J. Kokosinski
GKS Katowice
🟨
90+6'
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz
Piast Gliwice
🟨
90+4'
Marcin Wasielewski
GKS Katowice

Piast Gliwice vs GKS Katowice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Piast Gliwice Win 38.4%
Draw 14.8%
GKS Katowice Win 46.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Piast Gliwice1.31
GKS Katowice1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
WWDLW
40 GF / 41 GA
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
WLDWL
48 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
18
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
16
4.1
Shots on Goal
4.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 31 matches
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 31 matches
Piast Gliwice Statistic GKS Katowice
11 Wins 14
7 Draws 5
13 Losses 12
40 Goals For 48
41 Goals Against 42
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
18 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 8
4.1 Shots On Goal 4.9
14.71 Total Shots 13.1
5.29 Corners 4.77
55.2% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between GKS Katowice's more proactive style and Piast Gliwice's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring GKS Katowice. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Piast Gliwice expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and GKS Katowice in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward GKS Katowice having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Piast Gliwice Analysis

So far, Piast Gliwice have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 40 points from 31 matches. The record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 40:41 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Jirka (6 goals), G. Barkovskiy (4 goals), J. Felix (4 goals), with creative support from J. Felix (3 assists), L. Sanca (3 assists), Patryk Dziczek (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

GKS Katowice Analysis

GKS Katowice come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 47 points after 31 matches. They have recorded 14 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, with a 48:42 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. Nowak (8 goals), E. Markovic (8 goals), Arkadiusz Jędrych (7 goals), with creative support from B. Nowak (11 assists), A. Czerwinski (5 assists), Marcin Wasielewski (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses supports the view of a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Piast Gliwice won 2 times, GKS Katowice won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Piast Gliwice's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
Predicted formations: Piast Gliwice 4-4-1-1 / GKS Katowice 3-4-3
H2H summary: Piast Gliwice wins 2, draws 3, GKS Katowice wins 0

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation