Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
96.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Philadelphia Union
19 matches
Nashville SC
20 matches
| Philadelphia Union | Statistic | Nashville SC |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 12 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 10 | Losses | 3 |
| 31 | Goals For | 37 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.65 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.14 | Shots On Goal | 4.94 |
| 13.79 | Total Shots | 12.13 |
| 6.21 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 51.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Nashville SC's more proactive style and Philadelphia Union's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Nashville SC. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Nashville SC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 22 points while Philadelphia Union sit 15 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Nashville SC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
With 5 points from 10 games and a place of 15, Philadelphia Union still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 9:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Danley Jean Jacques (2 goals), M. Iloski (2 goals), A. Anello (1 goals), with creative support from A. Bedoya (2 assists), M. Iloski (1 assists), C. Sullivan (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Nashville SC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 22 points after 9 matches. With 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:6, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by S. Surridge (9 goals), C. Espinoza (3 goals), H. Mukhtar (3 goals), with creative support from C. Espinoza (3 assists), H. Mukhtar (3 assists), P. Yazbek (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia Union won 4 times, Nashville SC won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from Philadelphia Union's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.92 goals per game.
Philadelphia Union
4
1
10
4
2
3
Lineups
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Nashville SC
New York City FC
Nashville SC
Los Angeles FC
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
DC United
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
Club America
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Club America
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
FC Dallas
Nashville SC
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Philadelphia Union
Buducnost Podgorica
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
Club America
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
FC Dallas
Nashville SC
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
Away
|
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 20 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 |
Philadelphia Union
Home
|
15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
