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04.05.2026 14:00
Borg El Arab Stadium
Referee: M. El Atabani
Pharco
Match Timeline
El Mokawloon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
26'
B. Ndiaye ↔ M. Ezz
Pharco
⚽
33'
M. Salim · Assist: Kahraba
El Mokawloon
🔄
46'
W. Mostafa ↔ M. Farhat
Pharco
🔄
60'
M. Salim ↔ A. Hawash
El Mokawloon
🔄
60'
M. Antar ↔ I. Abdellah
El Mokawloon
🔄
61'
M. Gaber ↔ M. Yasser
Pharco
🔄
72'
H. Yassin ↔ A. Ghouma
Pharco
⚽
75'
K. El Tayeb · Assist: M. Fakhri
Pharco
🔄
78'
H. Faisal ↔ M. Abdelnasser
El Mokawloon
🔄
81'
O. El Wahsh ↔ I. Gaber
El Mokawloon
🔄
81'
S. Naguib ↔ A. Ouled Behi
El Mokawloon

Pharco vs El Mokawloon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
40%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
75.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Pharco Win 32%
Draw 17.3%
El Mokawloon Win 50.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pharco0.65
El Mokawloon0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pharco Pharco
WWDLW
12 GF / 30 GA
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon
WLDWL
20 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.44
Average Goals Scored
0.74
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
8
BTTS Yes
13
3
Over 2.5
6
2.89
Shots on Goal
2.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pharco Pharco 27 matches
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 27 matches
Pharco Statistic El Mokawloon
3 Wins 5
11 Draws 13
13 Losses 9
12 Goals For 20
30 Goals Against 26
0.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.74
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
8 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 16
3 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 8
17 Failed To Score 11
2.89 Shots On Goal 2.63
9.41 Total Shots 9.52
4.26 Corners 4.78
42.7% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by El Mokawloon's more proactive style and Pharco's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. El Mokawloon carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 16 with 28 points while Pharco sit 20 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Pharco have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pharco expected to line up in 5-3-2 and El Mokawloon in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward El Mokawloon having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors El Mokawloon.

Pharco Analysis

Pharco approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 20 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 4:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Babacar Ndiaye (3 goals), Karim El Tayeb (2 goals), A. Ndiay (1 goals), with creative support from Halimo (2 assists), A. Yasser (2 assists), Babacar Ndiaye (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

El Mokawloon Analysis

El Mokawloon approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 28 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats with a 7:5 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Naguib (5 goals), Joackiam Ojera (4 goals), Mohamed Salem (4 goals), with creative support from Kahraba (3 assists), Joseph Ochaya (2 assists), S. Naguib (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Pharco won 3 times, El Mokawloon won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:9 from Pharco's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.11 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: Pharco 5-3-2 / El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Pharco wins 3, draws 5, El Mokawloon wins 1

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)