Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Penarol Win 0%
Draw 0%
Cerro Largo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penarol1.19
Cerro Largo1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penarol
WWDLW
32 GF / 26 GA
Cerro Largo
WLDWL
21 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
14
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
7
4
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Penarol
25 matches
Cerro Largo
19 matches
| Penarol | Statistic | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 3 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 32 | Goals For | 21 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 13.33 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 42.8% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Penarol won 6 times, Cerro Largo won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:15 from Penarol's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Penarol 4-2-3-1 / Cerro Largo 4-3-3
H2H summary: Penarol wins 6, draws 7, Cerro Largo wins 2
Last matches: Penarol
07.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
1
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.05.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Juventud
2
2
D
17.04.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
10.04.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Progreso
2
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Albion FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Cerro Largo
08.06.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
29.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Cerro
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Boston River
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
11.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Penarol
2
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Progreso
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Boston River
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Cerro
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
2
2
D
30.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Danubio
2
0
W
24.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
0
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
3
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
3
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Juventud
1
0
W
07.11.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
2
0
W
H2H: Penarol vs Cerro Largo
11.05.26
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
2
3
W
27.09.25
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
1
3
W
01.06.25
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
1
1
D
30.03.25
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
17.08.24
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
18.02.24
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
1
2
W
15.11.23
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
09.04.23
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
0
0
D
22.10.22
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
0
2
W
04.06.22
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
23.11.21
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
06.08.21
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
0
1
W
14.04.21
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
4
1
W
07.04.21
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
2
2
D
17.02.21
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
Last matches: Penarol
01.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.05.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
0
1
L
22.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
04.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Juventud
2
2
D
17.04.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
3
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Danubio
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Penarol
Atletico Torque
3
1
W
23.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Club Nacional
2
2
D
02.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
19.10.25
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
3
0
W
05.10.25
Pri
Penarol
Danubio
2
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Penarol
Juventud
1
0
W
06.09.25
Pri
Penarol
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
Penarol
CA River Plate
2
0
W
H2H at home: Penarol
30.03.25
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
17.08.24
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
15.11.23
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
04.06.22
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
23.11.21
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
14.04.21
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
4
1
W
17.02.21
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
Last matches: Cerro Largo
08.06.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Progreso
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Boston River
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
2
2
D
24.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
0
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
3
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Juventud
1
0
W
03.11.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
19.10.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
CA River Plate
1
1
D
04.10.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
1
2
L
20.09.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
07.09.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Cerro
1
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Miramar
1
1
D
09.08.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Progreso
2
1
W
02.08.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Juventud
2
0
W
20.10.18
Seg
Cerro Largo
Villa Teresa
3
2
W
13.10.18
Seg
Cerro Largo
Cerrito
1
0
W
H2H away: Cerro Largo
30.03.25
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
0
2
W
17.08.24
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
15.11.23
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
04.06.22
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
0
1
W
23.11.21
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
14.04.21
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
4
1
L
17.02.21
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
Standings
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Penarol
Home
|
19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
Cerro Largo
Away
|
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)