Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
73.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
68.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Penarol
Central Espanol
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Penarol
23 matches
Central Espanol
17 matches
| Penarol | Statistic | Central Espanol |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 6 |
| 31 | Goals For | 25 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 13.33 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 42.8% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Central Espanol having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Central Espanol. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Placed 4 with 27 points from 15 outings, Penarol continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 23:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Arezo (7 goals), L. Angulo (4 goals), Leandro Umpierrez (3 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Central Espanol come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 24 points from 15 matches. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 23:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Tarragona (6 goals), F. Munoz (3 goals), I. Rodriguez (3 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Penarol won 2 times, Central Espanol won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Penarol's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Lineups
Penarol
Cerro
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Wanderers
Penarol
Juventud
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Progreso
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Boston River
Penarol
Cerro
Penarol
Albion FC
Penarol
Danubio
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Boston River
Central Espanol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Albion FC
Central Espanol
Danubio
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Juventud
Central Espanol
Penarol
Central Espanol
Progreso
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Juventud
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Cerro
Penarol
Danubio
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
Atletico Torque
Penarol
Club Nacional
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Wanderers
Penarol
Danubio
Penarol
Juventud
Penarol
Plaza Colonia
Penarol
CA River Plate
Penarol
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Boston River
Central Espanol
Albion FC
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Juventud
Central Espanol
Progreso