Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
20.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
78.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
PAU
Nancy
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
PAU
34 matches
Nancy
36 matches
| PAU | Statistic | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 12 |
| 12 | Losses | 15 |
| 46 | Goals For | 39 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 3.79 | Shots On Goal | 2.88 |
| 11.76 | Total Shots | 10.85 |
| 4.79 | Corners | 4.44 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 42.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nancy. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with PAU expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Nancy in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nancy having the stronger overall control.
So far, PAU have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 45 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, while the 44:54 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Arconte (13 goals), G. Versini (9 goals), A. Bobichon (5 goals), with creative support from A. Bobichon (4 assists), K. Dong (4 assists), Rayan Touzghar (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Nancy sit 15 with 31 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 29:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Brandon Bokangu (5 goals), Z. Fdaouch (5 goals), Nicolas Saint-Ruf (4 goals), with creative support from T. Bouriaud (3 assists), Brandon Bokangu (2 assists), Z. Fdaouch (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, PAU won 2 times, Nancy won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from PAU's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.
PAU
4
6
6
2
6
2
Lineups
PAU
Reims
PAU
Annecy
PAU
Guingamp
PAU
Amiens
PAU
Le Mans
PAU
Montpellier
PAU
Clermont Foot
PAU
Bastia
PAU
Saint Etienne
PAU
Estac Troyes
PAU
Boulogne
PAU
RED Star FC 93
PAU
Laval
PAU
Grenoble
PAU
Dunkerque
PAU
Rodez
PAU
Amiens
PAU
Montpellier
PAU
SA Mérignac
PAU
Le Mans
Nancy
Dunkerque
Nancy
Reims
Nancy
Annecy
Nancy
Clermont Foot
Nancy
Saint Etienne
Nancy
Boulogne
Nancy
Le Mans
Nancy
Montpellier
Nancy
Laval
Nancy
Grenoble
Nancy
RED Star FC 93
Nancy
Estac Troyes
Nancy
Bastia
Nancy
Rodez
Nancy
Guingamp
Nancy
Le Mans
Nancy
Amiens
Nancy
Grenoble
Nancy
Clermont Foot
Nancy
Grenoble
PAU
Guingamp
PAU
Montpellier
PAU
Bastia
PAU
Saint Etienne
PAU
Boulogne
PAU
Grenoble
PAU
Rodez
PAU
Amiens
PAU
Le Mans
PAU
Estac Troyes
PAU
Dunkerque
PAU
Clermont Foot
PAU
Laval
PAU
RED Star FC 93
PAU
Reims
PAU
Annecy
Nancy
Reims
Nancy
Clermont Foot
Nancy
Boulogne
Nancy
Laval
Nancy
RED Star FC 93
Nancy
Bastia
Nancy
Le Mans
Nancy
Amiens
Nancy
Grenoble
Nancy
Grenoble
Nancy
Sarreguemines
Nancy
Saint Etienne
Nancy
Le Mans
Nancy
Montpellier
Nancy
Guingamp
Nancy
Annecy
Nancy
Estac Troyes
Nancy
Dunkerque
Nancy
Rodez
Nancy
Montpellier
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 67 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 50:31 | 19 | 62 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:38 | 21 | 60 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 45:37 | 8 | 58 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:39 | 6 | 58 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 53:35 | 18 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:39 | 10 | 52 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
PAU
Home
|
34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 48:62 | -14 | 45 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 53:45 | 8 | 43 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:49 | -7 | 40 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:44 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 |
Nancy
Away
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 37 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:49 | -15 | 36 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:39 | -16 | 28 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 37:65 | -28 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
L
|