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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
01.08.2026 18:30
Patronato
Match Timeline
Quilmes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
L. Romeo
Patronato
⚽
11'
V. L. Pereyra
Patronato
⚽
14'
A. Spetale · Assist: M. Vallejos
Quilmes
⚽
24'
W. Rueda
Patronato
🟨
34'
F. Soldano
Patronato
🔄
46'
F. Evangelista ↔ N. Genez
Patronato
🔄
46'
M. Vallejos ↔ A. Ortega
Quilmes
🟨
47'
F. Moreyra
Patronato
⚽
48'
A. Kippes · Assist: U. Vera
Quilmes
🟨
52'
W. Rueda
Patronato
🔄
58'
A. Spetale ↔ P. Bonacci
Quilmes
🔄
58'
G. Vega ↔ A. Lavezzi
Quilmes
🟨
62'
F. Bravo
Patronato
🟨
63'
V. L. Pereyra
Patronato
🔄
64'
D. Diaz ↔ F. N. Diaz
Patronato
🟨
65'
G. Diaz
Patronato
🟨
72'
A. Miro
Patronato
🟨
74'
A. Ortega
Quilmes
⚽
75'
A. Lavezzi · Assist: R. Martinez
Quilmes
🟨
77'
A. Bindella
Quilmes
🔄
78'
A. Bindella ↔ T. Ortega
Quilmes
🔄
80'
J. P. Barinaga ↔ G. Salega
Patronato
🔄
80'
F. Soldano ↔ H. Rivero
Patronato
🔄
84'
V. L. Pereyra ↔ F. Heredia
Patronato
🔄
85'
R. Martinez ↔ J. Yangali
Quilmes

Patronato vs Quilmes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
50%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Patronato Win 66.8%
Draw 10.1%
Quilmes Win 23.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Patronato0.7
Quilmes0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Patronato Patronato
WWDLW
13 GF / 18 GA
Quilmes Quilmes
WLDWL
18 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.62
Average Goals Scored
0.86
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
7
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Patronato Patronato 21 matches
Quilmes Quilmes 21 matches
Patronato Statistic Quilmes
4 Wins 6
10 Draws 6
7 Losses 9
13 Goals For 18
18 Goals Against 17
0.62 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
7 BTTS Yes 5
12 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 7
0 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Patronato won 3 times, Quilmes won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Patronato's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
H2H summary: Patronato wins 3, draws 5, Quilmes wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 15 14 4 32:15 17 59
D D W D D
2 33 16 11 6 40:27 13 59
W W L W D
3 33 18 4 11 39:30 9 58
W W W D W
4 33 15 10 8 50:42 8 55
D L D D W
5 33 14 9 10 38:26 12 51
W D L W W
6 33 13 10 10 34:30 4 49
D L W L D
7 33 13 9 11 40:32 8 48
D W W D D
8 33 13 8 12 32:31 1 47
D W W L W
9 33 12 10 11 35:33 2 46
D L L W D
10 33 10 13 10 35:33 2 43
L W D L W
11 33 11 9 13 27:34 -7 42
L L L W L
12 33 11 8 14 30:39 -9 41
W W L L D
13 33 10 10 13 27:35 -8 40
W D L W L
14 33 10 9 14 30:28 2 39
L D W L W
15 33 7 16 10 29:32 -3 37
W L W D D
16 33 9 9 15 24:32 -8 36
L L W D L
17 33 9 6 18 25:35 -10 33
L W L W L
18 33 5 8 20 23:56 -33 23
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation