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ITALY › SERIE A
19.10.2026 18:45
Ennio Tardini
Referee: Giovanni Ayroldi

Parma vs Torino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.43
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64.9%
1.33 ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.43 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.3%
1.47 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Parma Win 35.1%
Draw 19.9%
Torino Win 45%
Expected Goals (xG)
Parma0.81
Torino1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Parma Parma
WWDLW
9 GF / 17 GA
Torino Torino
WLDWL
11 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.69
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
4
3.25
Shots on Goal
2.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Parma Parma 13 matches
Torino Torino 12 matches
Parma Statistic Torino
2 Wins 5
5 Draws 2
6 Losses 5
9 Goals For 11
17 Goals Against 12
0.69 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 3
3.25 Shots On Goal 2.75
8.88 Total Shots 10.75
3.88 Corners 4.13
42.4% Ball Possession 54.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Torino. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Parma expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Torino in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Torino having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Parma Analysis

Parma sit 18 with 4 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 4:10 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Romero (2 goals), Pontus Almqvist (1 goals), S. Lontani (1 goals), with creative support from Pontus Almqvist (1 assists), E. Touré (1 assists), N. Elphege (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Torino Analysis

Torino sit 15 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:8, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Pietro Comuzzo (1 goals), C. Adams (1 goals), Sandro Kulenović (1 goals), with creative support from Alessio Cacciamani (1 assists), Eray Cömert (1 assists), Rafik Belghali (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Parma won 5 times, Torino won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:21 from Parma's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.1%)
Predicted formations: Parma 3-4-2-1 / Torino 3-5-2
Missing players: Parma 3, Torino 3
H2H summary: Parma wins 5, draws 5, Torino wins 5

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 21:9 12 19
W W D W W
2 7 5 2 0 16:3 13 17
W D D W W
3 6 5 1 0 11:4 7 16
W W D W W
4 7 4 1 2 13:9 4 13
W L W D W
5 6 4 1 1 6:3 3 13
D W W W L
6 6 3 3 0 11:5 6 12
D W D D W
7 6 3 2 1 9:5 4 11
D W L D W
8 6 3 2 1 9:6 3 11
D L W W W
9 7 3 1 3 10:7 3 10
L W D W L
10 6 3 0 3 8:8 0 9
W L L L W
11 7 3 0 4 9:12 -3 9
W L L W L
12 7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L D L W D
13 6 2 1 3 7:9 -2 7
W D L W L
14 7 1 2 4 6:10 -4 5
L W D L D
15 6 1 1 4 9:15 -6 4
L W L D L
16
Parma Home
6 1 1 4 4:10 -6 4
L W L D L
17 7 1 1 5 9:16 -7 4
L L L L L
18 6 1 1 4 7:14 -7 4
L D W L L
19 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
L W L D L
20 7 1 0 6 6:16 -10 3
W L L L L
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