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ITALY › COPPA ITALIA
14.08.2026 16:00
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Referee: V. Crezzini
Parma
Match Timeline
Catania
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
S. Lontani
Parma
🟨
33'
Alessandro Quaini
Catania
⚽
35'
S. Lontani · Assist: E. B. Toure
Parma
🟨
45+2'
Simone Leonardi
Catania
🔄
46'
D. Donnarumma ↔ A. Raimo
Catania
🔄
46'
A. Corbari ↔ M. Liguori
Catania
🔄
63'
A. Quaini ↔ F. Di Tacchio
Catania
🔄
63'
S. Leonardi ↔ S. Caturano
Catania
🔄
66'
A. Konate ↔ M. Keita
Parma
🔄
66'
A. Bernabe ↔ O. Sorensen
Parma
🔄
67'
E. B. Toure ↔ M. Frigan
Parma
🔄
77'
S. Lontani ↔ O. Diallo
Parma
🔄
82'
A. Allegretto ↔ M. Perrotta
Catania
🔄
83'
S. Britschgi ↔ F. Carboni
Parma
🟨
90+4'
Franco Carboni
Parma

Parma vs Catania Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 12%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
12%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Parma Win 55.5%
Draw 18.2%
Catania Win 26.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Parma0.76
Catania1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Parma Parma
WWDLW
3 GF / 5 GA
Catania Catania
WLDWL
1 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Parma Parma 5 matches
Catania Catania 1 matches
Parma Statistic Catania
0 Wins 0
4 Draws 1
1 Losses 0
3 Goals For 1
5 Goals Against 1
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 1
0 Over 2.5 0
0 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Parma won 2 times, Catania won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Parma's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.8%)
Predicted formations: Parma 4-3-3 / Catania 4-3-3
H2H summary: Parma wins 2, draws 4, Catania wins 3