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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
19.09.2026 15:15
Stade Jean Bouin
Referee: Jeremy Stinat, France
Paris FC
Match Timeline
Strasbourg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
I. Kebbal · Assist: L. Sinayoko
Paris FC
🟨
40'
Maxime López
Paris FC
🔄
54'
H. Traore ↔ T. De Smet
Paris FC
⚽
57'
P. Pagis · Assist: M. Lopez
Paris FC
🔄
59'
J. Ortega ↔ C. Harder
Strasbourg
🟨
63'
Diogo Sousa
Strasbourg
🟨
67'
Gessime Yassine
Strasbourg
🔄
67'
S. El Mourabet ↔ P. Demba
Strasbourg
🔄
67'
G. Reyna ↔ D. Essugo
Strasbourg
🔄
67'
S. Nanasi ↔ S. Amo-Ameyaw
Strasbourg
🔄
68'
I. Kebbal ↔ R. Matondo
Paris FC
🔄
68'
P. Pagis ↔ J. Ikone
Paris FC
🔄
86'
M. Lopez ↔ V. Marchetti
Paris FC
🔄
87'
L. Sinayoko ↔ P. Zabi
Paris FC
🔄
87'
G. Yassine ↔ Y. Dieme
Strasbourg
⚽
88'
M. Mbow
Strasbourg
🟨
90+4'
Luca Koleosho
Paris FC
🟨
90'
Thibault De Smet
Paris FC

Paris FC vs Strasbourg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.86
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.1%
1.86 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.61 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75.8%
1.21 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Paris FC Win 67.1%
Draw 8.3%
Strasbourg Win 24.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paris FC2.02
Strasbourg1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paris FC Paris FC
WWDLW
13 GF / 13 GA
Strasbourg Strasbourg
WLDWL
15 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
2.9
4
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
5.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paris FC Paris FC 9 matches
Strasbourg Strasbourg 10 matches
Paris FC Statistic Strasbourg
3 Wins 2
4 Draws 2
2 Losses 6
13 Goals For 15
13 Goals Against 29
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 2.9
4 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 5.75
12.25 Total Shots 13.25
3 Corners 2.25
49.5% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Paris FC won 2 times, Strasbourg won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Paris FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Paris FC 4-2-3-1 / Strasbourg 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Paris FC 4, Strasbourg 2
H2H summary: Paris FC wins 2, draws 2, Strasbourg wins 2

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 10:5 5 14
D W D W W
2 6 4 1 1 9:4 5 13
W L W W D
3 6 3 2 1 11:4 7 11
L W D W D
4 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L W D W W
5 6 3 2 1 11:8 3 11
W W W L D
6 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
7 6 2 2 2 12:9 3 8
W L L W D
8 6 2 2 2 6:6 0 8
W L D W L
9 6 2 1 3 11:10 1 7
W L D L L
10 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
11 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
L W D L W
12 6 1 3 2 10:12 -2 6
L W D D L
13 6 1 3 2 9:11 -2 6
D W D L D
14 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
15 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 6 0 2 4 4:8 -4 2
L L D L D
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Qualifying
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Play-offs
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Relegation