Palmeiras
Match Timeline
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
27.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Palmeiras Win 88%
Draw 5.3%
Chapecoense-sc Win 6.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palmeiras1.82
Chapecoense-sc0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palmeiras
WWDLW
39 GF / 18 GA
Chapecoense-sc
WLDWL
17 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
2
15
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
8
4.87
Shots on Goal
3.44
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Palmeiras
23 matches
Chapecoense-sc
16 matches
| Palmeiras | Statistic | Chapecoense-sc |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 1 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 2 | Losses | 9 |
| 39 | Goals For | 17 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.87 | Shots On Goal | 3.44 |
| 14.48 | Total Shots | 12.69 |
| 6.17 | Corners | 3.69 |
| 52.7% | Ball Possession | 42.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras won 9 times, Chapecoense-sc won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:16 from Palmeiras's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Palmeiras 4-3-3 / Chapecoense-sc 4-4-1-1
Missing players: Palmeiras 13, Chapecoense-sc 6
H2H summary: Palmeiras wins 9, draws 2, Chapecoense-sc wins 4
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 64 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Palmeiras
Home
|
30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 63 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | 11 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 11 | 50 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 49 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 47 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:45 | 1 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 0 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37:47 | -10 | 38 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 35 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 33 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:38 | -7 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 31 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
Away
|
28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | -28 | 18 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B