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12.09.2026 23:00
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
Referee: Cristian Garay, Chile
Palestino
Match Timeline
U. Catolica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
F. Zampedri · Assist: M. Palavecino
U. Catolica
⚽
22'
D. Corral · Assist: J. Giani
U. Catolica
⚽
29'
E. Roco · Assist: J. Abrigo
Palestino
🔄
46'
M. Eggel ↔ I. Alegria
Palestino
🟨
47'
Fernando Zuqui
U. Catolica
🟨
53'
Cristián Cuevas
U. Catolica
🟨
55'
Joe Abrigo
Palestino
⚽
57'
J. Abrigo · Assist: C. Munder
Palestino
🔄
61'
F. Zuqui ↔ A. Farias
U. Catolica
🔄
62'
D. Corral ↔ M. Gomez
U. Catolica
VAR
71'
Fernando Zampedri
U. Catolica
⚽
73'
F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
🔄
75'
R. Fernandez ↔ F. T. Montes Romero
Palestino
🔄
75'
S. Gallegos ↔ G. Tapia Paez
Palestino
🔄
82'
S. Arancibia ↔ B. Cerezo
U. Catolica
🔄
82'
M. Palavecino ↔ J. A. Martinez
U. Catolica
🟨
87'
Jimmy Martínez
U. Catolica
🟨
90+9'
César Munder
Palestino
🟨
90+8'
Nicolás L'Huiller
U. Catolica
🔄
90+2'
A. A. Ceza Gavilan ↔ A. Gomez
Palestino
🔄
90+2'
F. Zampedri ↔ N. L’Huillier
U. Catolica

Palestino vs U. Catolica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.1%
Odds 3.00
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.1%
3.00 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.78 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79%
1.65 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Palestino Win 60.1%
Draw 4.2%
U. Catolica Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palestino1.52
U. Catolica1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palestino Palestino
WWDLW
46 GF / 39 GA
U. Catolica U. Catolica
WLDWL
70 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
18
BTTS Yes
22
17
Over 2.5
26
4.55
Shots on Goal
4.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palestino Palestino 28 matches
U. Catolica U. Catolica 36 matches
Palestino Statistic U. Catolica
14 Wins 21
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 10
46 Goals For 70
39 Goals Against 48
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
18 BTTS Yes 22
20 Over 1.5 31
17 Over 2.5 26
9 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 6
4.55 Shots On Goal 4.3
15 Total Shots 12.57
4.68 Corners 4.9
51.8% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward U. Catolica. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Palestino expected to line up in 4-4-2 and U. Catolica in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward U. Catolica having the stronger overall control.

Palestino Analysis

Palestino approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 33 points after 21 outings. With 10 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:29, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Nelson Da Silva (4 goals), Gonzalo Tapia (3 goals), César Munder (2 goals), with creative support from Nelson Da Silva (2 assists), Dilan Zúñiga (2 assists), Nicolás Meza (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

U. Catolica Analysis

U. Catolica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 36 points after 21 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a 46:31 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Fernando Zampedri (12 goals), Justo Giani (5 goals), Clemente Montes (3 goals), with creative support from Clemente Montes (3 assists), Matías Palavecino (3 assists), Fernando Zampedri (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Palestino won 5 times, U. Catolica won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:28 from Palestino's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Palestino 4-4-2 / U. Catolica 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Palestino wins 5, draws 3, U. Catolica wins 6

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
10 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L L W L
11 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
12 22 8 4 10 31:39 -8 28
W W D L L
13 23 8 3 12 28:36 -8 27
L W L L D
14 23 7 3 13 34:44 -10 24
W L W D L
15 23 6 4 13 17:39 -22 22
L L L W L
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L