Paide
Match Timeline
Kuressaare
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
76.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
28.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Paide Win 50.1%
Draw 26.7%
Kuressaare Win 23.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paide1.91
Kuressaare1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paide
WWDLW
36 GF / 30 GA
Kuressaare
WLDWL
24 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
2.22
15
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Paide
21 matches
Kuressaare
18 matches
| Paide | Statistic | Kuressaare |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 7 | Losses | 11 |
| 36 | Goals For | 24 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.22 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paide won 12 times, Kuressaare won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:11 from Paide's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (76.8%)
H2H summary: Paide wins 12, draws 3, Kuressaare wins 0
Lineups
Paide
Formation
Kuressaare
E. Jarju
M. Lilander
N. Baranov
Victor Hugo
R. Nigula
M. P. Sohna
O. Hoim
M. Miller
P. A. Cham
H. Ojamaa
H. Anier
K. Nomm
R. Saar
R. Piil
M. Lukka
S. Prunn
S. Sinilaid
D. Andreas
R. Tarkmeel
E. Demidov
T. Jurisoo
A. Kivi
Paide
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
99
E. Jarju
2
M. Lilander
↓ 58'
27
N. Baranov
3
Victor Hugo
24
R. Nigula
↓ 30'
11
M. P. Sohna
⚽ 16'
28
O. Hoim
🎯 16'
↓ 79'
10
M. Miller
🟨 52'
17
P. A. Cham
↓ 58'
8
H. Ojamaa
↓ 79'
9
H. Anier
Substitutes
12
M. Meerits
4
Andrade
↑ 30'
🟨 87'
6
Daniel Cabral
↑ 58'
7
E. Tur
↑ 58'
14
M. Jobarteh
15
H. Ojamaa
16
A. Surogin
19
S. Luts
↑ 79'
20
K. Piht
21
R. Smirnov
30
A. Badamosi
↑ 79'
Kuressaare
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
31
K. Nomm
23
R. Saar
36
R. Piil
21
M. Lukka
27
S. Prunn
5
S. Sinilaid
8
D. Andreas
80
R. Tarkmeel
↓ 46'
77
E. Demidov
🟨 88'
11
T. Jurisoo
🎯 78'
10
A. Kivi
⚽ 78'
Substitutes
22
S. Ristna
17
G. Roivassepp
↑ 46'
18
M. Dzemesjuk
25
J. Lonks
28
R. Lukas
68
J. Vahermagi
70
J. Vahermagi
Last matches: Paide
28.06.26
Mei
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
21.06.26
Mei
Paide
Flora Tallinn
2
1
W
17.06.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
1
0
W
14.06.26
Mei
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Paide
Trans Narva
0
1
L
17.05.26
Mei
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
10.05.26
Mei
Paide
Nõmme United
3
2
W
01.05.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
0
1
L
26.04.26
Mei
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
2
2
D
19.04.26
Mei
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
4
1
W
08.04.26
Mei
Paide
Nõmme United
3
1
W
03.04.26
Mei
Paide
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
15.03.26
Mei
Paide
Trans Narva
1
0
W
07.03.26
Mei
Paide
Vaprus
2
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Paide
Super Nova
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Paide
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
Last matches: Kuressaare
26.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
16.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
0
0
D
13.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
20.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
08.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
1
L
02.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
25.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1
2
L
21.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
03.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
14.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Tallinna Kalev
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
3
3
D
31.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Vaprus
2
9
L
H2H: Paide vs Kuressaare
31.05.26
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
03.04.26
H2H
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
W
04.10.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
16.08.25
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
5
1
W
13.08.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Paide
1
2
W
04.05.25
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
02.03.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Paide
1
2
W
23.11.24
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
2
1
W
21.09.24
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
4
3
W
04.08.24
H2H
Kuressaare
Paide
0
2
W
28.06.24
H2H
Kuressaare
Paide
0
2
W
10.04.24
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
2
0
W
06.04.24
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
3
1
W
22.10.23
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
1
0
W
23.07.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Paide
0
4
W
Last matches: Paide
17.06.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Mei
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
01.05.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
0
1
L
26.04.26
Mei
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
19.04.26
Mei
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
08.04.26
Mei
Paide
Nõmme United
3
1
W
15.03.26
Mei
Paide
Trans Narva
1
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
Paide
Super Nova
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Paide
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Paide
Metta / LU
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Paide
Rīgas FS
2
2
D
14.01.26
Fri
Paide
Tartu Welco
5
1
W
24.07.25
UEF
Paide
AIK Stockholm
0
2
L
17.07.25
UEF
Paide
Magpies
4
1
W
H2H at home: Paide
31.05.26
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
16.08.25
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
5
1
W
04.05.25
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
23.11.24
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
2
1
W
21.09.24
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
4
3
W
10.04.24
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
2
0
W
06.04.24
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
3
1
W
22.10.23
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
1
0
W
Last matches: Kuressaare
26.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
13.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
08.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
1
L
25.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
08.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Vaprus
2
9
L
24.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Viimsi
2
3
L
H2H away: Kuressaare
31.05.26
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
16.08.25
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
5
1
L
04.05.25
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
23.11.24
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
2
1
L
21.09.24
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
4
3
L
10.04.24
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
2
0
L
06.04.24
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
3
1
L
22.10.23
H2H
Paide
Kuressaare
1
0
L
Standings
Meistriliiga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 43 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 33 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30:15 | 15 | 31 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 4 |
Paide
Home
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 23 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 21:30 | -9 | 19 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Kuressaare
Away
|
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 17:27 | -10 | 17 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 10 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11:40 | -29 | 10 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga