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ESTONIA › MEISTRILIIGA
26.04.2026 11:30
Paide linnastaadion
Referee: K. Tohver
Paide
Match Timeline
Flora Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
H. Anier · Assist: Victor Hugo
Paide
🟨
36'
R. Valdmets
Flora Tallinn
🔄
46'
M. Jobarteh ↔ N. Baranov
Paide
🔄
46'
H. Anier ↔ A. Badamosi
Paide
🔄
46'
M. Lilander ↔ D. Luts
Paide
🟨
52'
A. Badamosi
Paide
🟨
59'
M. Kolobov
Flora Tallinn
⚽
62'
R. Sappinen · Assist: T. Varjund
Flora Tallinn
🟨
67'
S. Zenjov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
70'
S. Alamaa ↔ D. Kuraksin
Flora Tallinn
🔄
70'
R. Valdmets ↔ T. Usta
Flora Tallinn
🟨
71'
O. Hoim
Paide
⚽
76'
T. Usta · Assist: S. Zenjov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
78'
M. P. Sohna ↔ Willian Lins
Paide
🔄
82'
T. Varjund ↔ I. Antonov
Flora Tallinn
🟥
90+3'
Willian Lins
Paide
🔄
90'
G. Juhkam ↔ E. Tur
Paide

Paide vs Flora Tallinn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Paide Win 74.7%
Draw 6.4%
Flora Tallinn Win 18.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paide1.64
Flora Tallinn1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paide Paide
WWDLW
31 GF / 21 GA
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WLDWL
25 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
12
BTTS Yes
4
11
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paide Paide 16 matches
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 15 matches
Paide Statistic Flora Tallinn
9 Wins 8
4 Draws 1
3 Losses 6
31 Goals For 25
21 Goals Against 18
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
12 BTTS Yes 4
12 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 6
0 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Flora Tallinn. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flora Tallinn having the stronger overall control. Paide arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 17 points compared to Flora Tallinn in 5 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Paide come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Paide Analysis

Paide approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 17 points after 8 outings. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 13:7, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Daniel Cabral (3 goals), M. P. Sohna (3 goals), R. Nigula (2 goals), with creative support from H. Anier (3 assists), M. P. Sohna (1 assists), K. Piht (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Flora Tallinn approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 12 points after 8 outings. The return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 8:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Sappinen (4 goals), S. Alamaa (3 goals), I. Antonov (2 goals), with creative support from R. Sappinen (3 assists), S. Zenjov (2 assists), S. Alamaa (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paide won 9 times, Flora Tallinn won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from Paide's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
H2H summary: Paide wins 9, draws 1, Flora Tallinn wins 5

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 23 6 1 82:21 61 75
W D W W W
2 30 18 1 11 59:41 18 55
L W W D W
3
Paide Home
30 15 6 9 48:37 11 51
L W W L W
4 30 15 5 10 52:28 24 50
L W W L L
5 30 15 2 13 41:47 -6 47
W L L W L
6 30 12 2 16 41:47 -6 38
W D W L L
7 30 10 5 15 41:59 -18 35
D L L L W
8 30 9 5 16 33:49 -16 32
W D L L W
9 30 9 1 20 47:72 -25 28
L L L W L
10 30 5 5 20 24:67 -43 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga