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ESTONIA › MEISTRILIIGA
06.09.2026 11:30
Paide linnastaadion
Referee: G. Osomkov
Paide
Match Timeline
FC Levadia Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Daniel Cabral
Paide
🔄
27'
M. Jobarteh ↔ J. Palacios
Paide
🟨
42'
M. Bessala
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
46'
D. Darboe ↔ H. Anier
Paide
🔄
46'
M. Bessala ↔ N. Kutateladze
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
49'
M. P. Sohna
Paide
🟨
58'
M. Skvortsov
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
65'
S. Luts ↔ D. Luts
Paide
🟨
67'
H. Anier
Paide
⚽
68'
M. Skvortsov
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
69'
M. Skvortsov ↔ M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
69'
M. Roosnupp ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
80'
H. Ojamaa ↔ K. Piht
Paide
🔄
80'
Wendell ↔ G. Lehtmets
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
84'
A. Nwankwo ↔ R. Peetson
FC Levadia Tallinn
⚽
90'
Joao Pedro · Assist: G. Lehtmets
FC Levadia Tallinn

Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53%
Odds 1.47
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53%
1.47 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.50 ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
2.82 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Paide Win 37.2%
Draw 9.7%
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 53%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paide1.38
FC Levadia Tallinn2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paide Paide
WWDLW
62 GF / 51 GA
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WLDWL
86 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
2.61
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1
27
BTTS Yes
22
21
Over 2.5
25
0.75
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paide Paide 38 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 33 matches
Paide Statistic FC Levadia Tallinn
18 Wins 23
10 Draws 6
10 Losses 4
62 Goals For 86
51 Goals Against 33
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 2.61
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1
27 BTTS Yes 22
29 Over 1.5 30
21 Over 2.5 25
15 Over 3.5 17
8 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 2
0.75 Shots On Goal 0
2.5 Total Shots 0
1.25 Corners 0
15.3% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Levadia Tallinn having the stronger overall control. FC Levadia Tallinn look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Levadia Tallinn. FC Levadia Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 56 points while Paide sit 4 on 39, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Paide Analysis

Paide approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 39 points after 23 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a 38:30 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 56 points after 23 matches. They have recorded 17 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, with a 61:18 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Paide won 3 times, FC Levadia Tallinn won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:25 from Paide's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
Predicted formations: Paide 4-3-3 / FC Levadia Tallinn -
H2H summary: Paide wins 3, draws 2, FC Levadia Tallinn wins 9

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 22 6 1 81:21 60 72
D W W W W
2 29 18 1 10 59:39 20 55
W W D W W
3
Paide Home
29 15 6 8 48:36 12 51
W W L W L
4 29 15 5 9 52:27 25 50
W W L L L
5 29 14 2 13 37:47 -10 44
L L W L W
6 29 11 2 16 40:47 -7 35
D W L L W
7 29 10 4 15 39:57 -18 34
L L L W W
8 29 8 5 16 31:49 -18 29
D L L W D
9 29 9 1 19 47:68 -21 28
L L W L L
10 29 5 4 20 22:65 -43 19
D L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga