Padova vs Carrarese Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Padova
Carrarese
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Padova
10 matches
Carrarese
8 matches
| Padova | Statistic | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 5 | Losses | 6 |
| 12 | Goals For | 3 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.38 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.33 | Shots On Goal | 3.17 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 5.33 | Corners | 5.17 |
| 43.7% | Ball Possession | 37.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Carrarese. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Padova arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 7 points compared to Carrarese in 20 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Carrarese arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
So far, Padova have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 7 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 5:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Pastina (1 goals), M. Pompetti (1 goals), N. Galazzi (1 goals), with creative support from M. Cocchi (2 assists), L. Carissoni (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 1 points from 5 games and a place of 20, Carrarese still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 2:6 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Abiuso (1 goals), P. Pinelli (1 goals), with creative support from J. Rouhi (1 assists), M. Cissé (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Padova won 1 times, Carrarese won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Padova's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Padova
Home
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 |
Carrarese
Away
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
L
|