11.10.2026 23:00
Starlight Stadium

Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Pacific FC Win 31%
Draw 17.7%
Atlético Ottawa Win 51.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pacific FC1.46
Atlético Ottawa1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WWDLW
30 GF / 52 GA
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WLDWL
38 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.41
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
17
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
18
2.54
Shots on Goal
2.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pacific FC Pacific FC 24 matches
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 27 matches
Pacific FC Statistic Atlético Ottawa
2 Wins 12
8 Draws 4
14 Losses 11
30 Goals For 38
52 Goals Against 48
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
17 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 11
1 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 7
2.54 Shots On Goal 2.15
7.46 Total Shots 5.33
2.63 Corners 2.48
30% Ball Possession 33%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atlético Ottawa. Atlético Ottawa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 40 points while Pacific FC sit 8 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pacific FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Atlético Ottawa in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlético Ottawa having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Pacific FC Analysis

Pacific FC are currently 8 in the standings with 14 points from 23 matches. The record of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 30:47 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Bustos (3 goals), Y. Toualy (2 goals), R. Kratt (2 goals), with creative support from M. Bustos (2 assists), Y. Toualy (1 assists), R. Kratt (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

Placed 3 with 40 points from 25 outings, Atlético Ottawa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 38:41 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Habibullah (2 goals), B. Tabla (1 goals), G. Antinoro (1 goals), with creative support from J. Assi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Pacific FC won 2 times, Atlético Ottawa won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:23 from Pacific FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.3%)
Predicted formations: Pacific FC 4-4-2 / Atlético Ottawa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Pacific FC wins 2, draws 5, Atlético Ottawa wins 8

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 5 4 51:19 32 53
L L W D W
2 24 14 6 4 38:20 18 48
D D D W D
3 25 12 4 9 38:41 -3 40
W W L L D
4 25 9 6 10 35:33 2 33
D D D L W
5 24 8 4 12 36:44 -8 28
W L W L L
6 25 7 6 12 38:42 -4 27
D L W W L
7 24 6 9 9 39:54 -15 27
W L D L W
8 24 2 8 14 30:52 -22 14
L W D L D