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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
12.09.2026 14:00
Kassam Stadium
Referee: W. Davis
Oxford United
Match Timeline
Burton Albion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Joe Lewis
Burton Albion
🟨
38'
Jamie McDonnell
Oxford United
🔄
46'
J. Armer ↔ H. Araujo
Burton Albion
🔄
61'
B. Spencer ↔ J. Currie
Oxford United
🔄
61'
J. McDonnell ↔ G. O'Donkor
Oxford United
🔄
62'
C. Vickers ↔ K. Adom
Burton Albion
🔄
62'
W. Collar ↔ S. Krubally
Burton Albion
🔄
68'
J. Lewis ↔ J. Sraha
Burton Albion
🔄
74'
K. Andrews ↔ T. Goodrham
Oxford United
⚽
76'
S. Dembele
Oxford United
🔄
86'
M. Harris ↔ L. Sibley
Oxford United
🔄
87'
M. Missanga ↔ L. Snowden
Oxford United
⚽
90'
L. Sibley · Assist: S. Dembele
Oxford United
⚽
90'
G. O'Donkor · Assist: T. Goodrham
Oxford United

Oxford United vs Burton Albion Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.6%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.6%
1.28 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.75 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.3%
1.17 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Oxford United Win 51.1%
Draw 4.4%
Burton Albion Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oxford United1.91
Burton Albion1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oxford United Oxford United
WWDLW
19 GF / 9 GA
Burton Albion Burton Albion
WLDWL
12 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.38
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
4.25
Shots on Goal
3.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oxford United Oxford United 8 matches
Burton Albion Burton Albion 10 matches
Oxford United Statistic Burton Albion
6 Wins 3
1 Draws 4
1 Losses 3
19 Goals For 12
9 Goals Against 12
2.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
6 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 3
4.25 Shots On Goal 3.4
11.5 Total Shots 9.6
4.75 Corners 2.4
54.3% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Oxford United won 8 times, Burton Albion won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:17 from Oxford United's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Oxford United 3-4-2-1 / Burton Albion 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Oxford United wins 8, draws 3, Burton Albion wins 4

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 16:11 5 16
W L W W W
2 8 5 1 2 8:5 3 16
D W W W L
3 8 4 3 1 14:7 7 15
W L D D W
4 7 4 2 1 13:6 7 14
D D W W W
5 8 4 1 3 17:10 7 13
W D L W L
6 8 3 4 1 13:11 2 13
D D W D W
7 8 3 3 2 17:10 7 12
D D W L W
8 9 3 3 3 14:15 -1 12
L W D L D
9 8 3 3 2 6:8 -2 12
D D W W L
10 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
D W W L W
11 8 3 1 4 13:11 2 10
L W L D W
12 8 2 4 2 13:16 -3 10
D W W D L
13 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
L W W D D
14 7 2 3 2 9:11 -2 9
D W L W D
15 7 2 2 3 13:13 0 8
L D L L W
16 7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L L D W L
17 7 2 2 3 10:13 -3 8
D D L L W
18 7 2 2 3 7:12 -5 8
D L L W W
19 7 2 2 3 8:18 -10 8
W D L L L
20 7 1 4 2 7:9 -2 7
L L D D W
21 7 1 3 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L D D
22 7 0 6 1 8:10 -2 6
D D D L D
23 8 1 2 5 4:13 -9 5
L L D L D
24 7 1 1 5 5:12 -7 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two