Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
13.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
18.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Oviedo
Alaves
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Oviedo
37 matches
Alaves
41 matches
| Oviedo | Statistic | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 14 |
| 11 | Draws | 10 |
| 20 | Losses | 17 |
| 28 | Goals For | 57 |
| 60 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 19 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.35 | Shots On Goal | 3.98 |
| 10.16 | Total Shots | 11.63 |
| 3.92 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 45.7% | Ball Possession | 47.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Alaves. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Oviedo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Alaves in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alaves having the stronger overall control.
Oviedo sit 20 with 29 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 18 defeats with a 26:54 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Federico Viñas (9 goals), Ilyas Chaira (6 goals), Alberto Reina (4 goals), with creative support from T. Fernandez (4 assists), H. Hassan (3 assists), Ilyas Chaira (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Alaves sit 18 with 37 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 41:54, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Martinez (12 goals), L. Boye (11 goals), C. Vicente (5 goals), with creative support from C. Alena (4 assists), T. Martinez (3 assists), A. Perez (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Oviedo won 1 times, Alaves won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Oviedo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.
Oviedo
0
1
5
4
3
2
Lineups
Oviedo
Mallorca
Oviedo
Real Madrid
Oviedo
Getafe
Oviedo
Real Betis
Oviedo
Elche
Oviedo
Villarreal
Oviedo
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
Sevilla
Oviedo
Levante
Oviedo
Valencia
Oviedo
Espanyol
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
Real Sociedad
Oviedo
Athletic Club
Oviedo
Girona
Oviedo
Barcelona
Oviedo
Osasuna
Oviedo
Real Betis
Oviedo
Alaves
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Barcelona
Alaves
Elche
Alaves
Athletic Club
Alaves
Mallorca
Alaves
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Osasuna
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Villarreal
Alaves
Valencia
Alaves
Levante
Alaves
Girona
Alaves
Sevilla
Alaves
Getafe
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Espanyol
Alaves
Real Betis
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Getafe
Oviedo
Elche
Oviedo
Villarreal
Oviedo
Sevilla
Oviedo
Valencia
Oviedo
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
Athletic Club
Oviedo
Girona
Oviedo
Real Betis
Oviedo
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
Mallorca
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Osasuna
Oviedo
Espanyol
Oviedo
Levante
Oviedo
Barcelona
Oviedo
Real Sociedad
Oviedo
Real Madrid
Alaves
Elche
Alaves
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Valencia
Alaves
Levante
Alaves
Sevilla
Alaves
Espanyol
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Villarreal
Alaves
Osasuna
Alaves
Portugalete
Alaves
Barcelona
Alaves
Girona
Alaves
Deportivo Getxo
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Mallorca
Alaves
Getafe
Alaves
Athletic Club
Alaves
Real Betis
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 |
Alaves
Away
|
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 |
Oviedo
Home
|
38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|