BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
City Stadium
Ostrovets FC
Match Timeline
Dinamo Minsk II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
M. Nizovtsev
Dinamo Minsk II
30'
A. Grabtsevich
Dinamo Minsk II
🟨
46'
Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
49'
N. Yakimovich · Assist: K. Goncharik
Ostrovets FC
🟨
68'
Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
🟥
70'
M. Chernyavskiy
Dinamo Minsk II

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.1%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ostrovets FC Win 28.3%
Draw 16.6%
Dinamo Minsk II Win 55.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ostrovets FC1.43
Dinamo Minsk II1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC
WWDLW
15 GF / 18 GA
Dinamo Minsk II Dinamo Minsk II
WLDWL
28 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
2
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
9
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 12 matches
Dinamo Minsk II Dinamo Minsk II 14 matches
Ostrovets FC Statistic Dinamo Minsk II
2 Wins 7
6 Draws 2
4 Losses 5
15 Goals For 28
18 Goals Against 24
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
9 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Dinamo Minsk II's more proactive style and Ostrovets FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dinamo Minsk II. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dinamo Minsk II having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Dinamo Minsk II carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 20 points while Ostrovets FC sit 11 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ostrovets FC Analysis

From their first 12 matches, Ostrovets FC have collected 12 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 15:18 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Tsyk (2 goals), K. Goncharik (2 goals), A. Davidovich (1 goals), with creative support from K. Goncharik (2 assists), A. Fedosenko (2 assists), D. Tsyk (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dinamo Minsk II Analysis

So far, Dinamo Minsk II have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 20 points from 11 matches. The record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 26:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Lutskovich (7 goals), K. Kaplenko (4 goals), A. Voskoboynikov (3 goals), with creative support from G. Drozd (5 assists), S. Zhivushko (5 assists), A. Lutskovich (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Ostrovets FC won 1 times, Dinamo Minsk II won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:7 from Ostrovets FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.4%)
H2H summary: Ostrovets FC wins 1, draws 0, Dinamo Minsk II wins 3
Last matches: Ostrovets FC
20.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Shakhter Soligorsk
1
4
L
13.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Slonim
1
1
D
06.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
BATE II
0
0
D
31.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Uni Minsk
3
2
W
23.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
3
L
15.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Gomel II
0
0
D
08.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
1
2
L
02.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Volna
2
2
D
24.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Smorgon
0
0
D
18.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Bumprom
3
1
W
11.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Minsk II
1
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Osipovichy
1
1
D
Last matches: Dinamo Minsk II
19.06.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
Slonim
3
1
W
14.06.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
BATE II
2
3
L
06.06.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
Uni Minsk
2
1
W
01.06.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1
1
D
27.05.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
Gomel II
2
2
D
08.05.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
Volna
3
1
W
02.05.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
Smorgon
3
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
Bumprom
3
4
L
20.04.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
Minsk II
4
0
W
10.04.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
Osipovichy
2
0
W
03.04.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
Lida
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Dinamo Minsk II
Arsenal
0
5
L
21.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Minsk II
FC Vitebsk
0
2
L
21.01.26
Fri
Dinamo Minsk II
Arsenal
2
1
W
H2H: Ostrovets FC vs Dinamo Minsk II
22.10.25
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Dinamo Minsk II
0
1
L
02.05.25
H2H
Dinamo Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
0
1
W
31.08.24
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Dinamo Minsk II
0
3
L
03.05.24
H2H
Dinamo Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
3
0
L
Last matches: Ostrovets FC
06.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
BATE II
0
0
D
31.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Uni Minsk
3
2
W
23.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
1
2
L
24.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Smorgon
0
0
D
11.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Minsk II
1
2
L
H2H at home: Ostrovets FC
22.10.25
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Dinamo Minsk II
0
1
L
31.08.24
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Dinamo Minsk II
0
3
L
Last matches: Dinamo Minsk II
14.06.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
BATE II
2
3
L
01.06.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1
1
D
02.05.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
Smorgon
3
1
W
20.04.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
Minsk II
4
0
W
03.04.26
1.
Dinamo Minsk II
Lida
1
2
L
H2H away: Dinamo Minsk II
22.10.25
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Dinamo Minsk II
0
1
W
31.08.24
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Dinamo Minsk II
0
3
W

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 10 1 2 29:15 14 31
L W W W W
2 12 8 3 1 28:9 19 27
W W D W W
3 13 8 2 3 23:11 12 26
W L D L W
4 13 7 2 4 28:17 11 23
L W W D W
5 13 7 2 4 28:16 12 23
W W W D L
6 13 7 2 4 23:22 1 23
W W W L D
7 13 6 4 3 28:16 12 22
L W L W W
8 11 6 2 3 26:16 10 20
W L W D D
9 13 6 2 5 20:20 0 20
W W W W W
10 13 5 1 7 14:27 -13 16
L L L L D
11 13 3 4 6 19:20 -1 13
W L L D L
12 13 3 4 6 16:20 -4 13
W L W W D
13 13 4 1 8 15:26 -11 13
W L L D L
14 12 2 6 4 15:18 -3 12
L D D W L
15 12 3 2 7 11:23 -12 11
L L L D L
16 13 3 2 8 12:24 -12 11
L L L L L
17 12 2 5 5 16:24 -8 11
L W D L D
18 13 1 1 11 14:41 -27 4
L W L L L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation