Login Register
SWEDEN › SUPERETTAN
10.10.2026 13:00
Jamtkraft Arena

Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ostersunds FK Win 55.9%
Draw 15.4%
Varbergs BoIS FC Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ostersunds FK1.2
Varbergs BoIS FC1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK
WWDLW
41 GF / 39 GA
Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC
WLDWL
53 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.66
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
18
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
19
1.96
Shots on Goal
3.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK 34 matches
Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC 32 matches
Ostersunds FK Statistic Varbergs BoIS FC
13 Wins 18
11 Draws 6
10 Losses 8
41 Goals For 53
39 Goals Against 38
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.66
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
18 BTTS Yes 18
24 Over 1.5 24
13 Over 2.5 19
6 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 8
1.96 Shots On Goal 3.45
3.87 Total Shots 6.14
3.74 Corners 3.45
33.2% Ball Possession 33.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ostersunds FK expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Varbergs BoIS FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Varbergs BoIS FC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Varbergs BoIS FC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Ostersunds FK Analysis

Placed 4 with 43 points from 25 outings, Ostersunds FK continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 33:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Varbergs BoIS FC Analysis

Varbergs BoIS FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 44 points after 25 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 44:33 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Severin Nioule (2 goals), Wilhelm Arlig (1 goals), Shanyder Borgelin (1 goals), with creative support from Wilhelm Arlig (1 assists), Emil Hellman (1 assists), Oliver Silverholt (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Ostersunds FK won 2 times, Varbergs BoIS FC won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:17 from Ostersunds FK's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
Predicted formations: Ostersunds FK 3-4-2-1 / Varbergs BoIS FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Ostersunds FK wins 2, draws 2, Varbergs BoIS FC wins 6

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 25 8 6 11 36:45 -9 30
D L W L D
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 25 7 7 11 33:36 -3 28
L L W D L
13 25 4 12 9 28:35 -7 24
D L L L L
14 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 25 6 1 18 19:53 -34 19
W L L W W
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation