BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Central City Stadium
Orsha
Live Timeline
Minsk II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
G. Bulatskiy · Assist: R. Sitnikov
Minsk II
🟨
29'
Orsha
Orsha
🟨
44'
Orsha
Orsha
🔄
46'
A. Tumanov ↔ V. Ganchuk
Minsk II
46'
V. Malyutin · Assist: S. Matusevich
Minsk II
🔄
46'
R. Sitnikov ↔ I. Volchok
Minsk II
52'
G. Bulatskiy · Assist: I. Bondarenko
Minsk II

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Orsha Win 28.1%
Draw 16%
Minsk II Win 55.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orsha1.38
Minsk II1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orsha Orsha
WWDLW
11 GF / 24 GA
Minsk II Minsk II
WLDWL
11 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
7
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orsha Orsha 13 matches
Minsk II Minsk II 12 matches
Orsha Statistic Minsk II
3 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
8 Losses 8
11 Goals For 11
24 Goals Against 26
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
7 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Minsk II having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Minsk II.

Orsha Analysis

Orsha sit 12 with 11 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 11:19 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Pashkevich (4 goals), N. Tarbyakov (2 goals), D. Tikhomirov (1 goals), with creative support from N. Vekhtev (3 assists), I. Ageev (1 assists), N. Bobchenok (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Minsk II Analysis

Minsk II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 10 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 11:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Lutskovich (7 goals), I. Bondarenko (4 goals), K. Kaplenko (4 goals), with creative support from G. Drozd (5 assists), S. Zhivushko (5 assists), A. Lutskovich (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Orsha won 1 times, Minsk II won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Orsha's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84%)
H2H summary: Orsha wins 1, draws 1, Minsk II wins 0
Last matches: Orsha
20.06.26
1.
Orsha
Osipovichy
1
2
L
13.06.26
1.
Orsha
Lida
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Orsha
Niva
1
1
D
30.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
2
L
23.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Orsha
Slonim
0
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Orsha
BATE II
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Orsha
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Orsha
Gomel II
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Orsha
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Orsha
Naftan
0
3
L
Last matches: Minsk II
19.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Volna
1
2
L
14.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Smorgon
0
1
L
06.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Bumprom
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Osipovichy
1
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Lida
2
1
W
10.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Niva
1
3
L
02.05.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
6
L
26.04.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
20.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
0
4
L
11.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
06.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Slonim
0
2
L
H2H: Orsha vs Minsk II
08.08.25
H2H
Orsha
Minsk II
1
1
D
05.04.25
H2H
Minsk II
Orsha
0
1
W
Last matches: Orsha
13.06.26
1.
Orsha
Lida
1
2
L
30.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Orsha
Slonim
0
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
H2H at home: Orsha
08.08.25
H2H
Orsha
Minsk II
1
1
D
Last matches: Minsk II
14.06.26
1.
Minsk II
Smorgon
0
1
L
22.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Osipovichy
1
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Minsk II
Niva
1
3
L
26.04.26
1.
Minsk II
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Minsk II
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Minsk II
08.08.25
H2H
Orsha
Minsk II
1
1
D

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 10 1 2 29:15 14 31
L W W W W
2 12 8 3 1 28:9 19 27
W W D W W
3 13 8 2 3 23:11 12 26
W L D L W
4 13 7 2 4 28:17 11 23
L W W D W
5 13 7 2 4 28:16 12 23
W W W D L
6 13 7 2 4 23:22 1 23
W W W L D
7 13 6 4 3 28:16 12 22
L W L W W
8 11 6 2 3 26:16 10 20
W L W D D
9 13 6 2 5 20:20 0 20
W W W W W
10 13 5 1 7 14:27 -13 16
L L L L D
11 13 3 4 6 19:20 -1 13
W L L D L
12 13 3 4 6 16:20 -4 13
W L W W D
13 12 2 6 4 15:18 -3 12
L D D W L
14
Orsha Home
11 3 2 6 11:19 -8 11
L L D L L
15 13 3 2 8 12:24 -12 11
L L L L L
16 12 2 5 5 16:24 -8 11
L W D L D
17 12 3 1 8 11:26 -15 10
L L D L W
18 13 1 1 11 14:41 -27 4
L W L L L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation