🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: F. Dujic
Orlando City SC
Match Timeline
Charlotte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
Luis Otavio · Assist: Z. Taifi
Orlando City SC
🟨
24'
Iván Angulo
Orlando City SC
33'
M. Agyemang · Assist: P. Biel
Charlotte
🟨
41'
Luis Otávio
Orlando City SC
🟨
41'
Ashley Westwood
Charlotte
🟨
45+2'
Martín Ojeda
Orlando City SC
49'
M. Ojeda · Assist: J. Ellis
Orlando City SC
🟨
59'
Harry Toffolo
Charlotte
61'
M. Ojeda
Orlando City SC
🟨
65'
Tiago Souza
Orlando City SC
🔄
73'
I. Toklomati ↔ A. Goodwin
Charlotte
🔄
73'
R. Aloko ↔ K. A. Calderon Vargas
Charlotte
🔄
73'
L. de la Torre ↔ B. Bronico
Charlotte
🔄
74'
Tiago ↔ T. Reid-Brown
Orlando City SC
🔄
78'
Z. Taifi ↔ I. Gomez
Orlando City SC
🟨
79'
Ignacio Gómez
Orlando City SC
🔄
80'
H. Toffolo ↔ D. Schnegg
Charlotte
🔄
80'
A. Westwood ↔ D. Diani
Charlotte
87'
I. Gomez · Assist: I. Angulo
Orlando City SC
🔄
90+3'
Luis Otavio ↔ C. Guske
Orlando City SC
🔄
90+3'
J. Ellis ↔ B. Rhein
Orlando City SC
🔄
90+3'
I. Angulo ↔ H. Sarajian
Orlando City SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Orlando City SC Win 22.9%
Draw 13.9%
Charlotte Win 63.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orlando City SC1.08
Charlotte2.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
WWDLW
13 GF / 35 GA
Charlotte Charlotte
WLDWL
21 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.75
2.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
8
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
8
3.63
Shots on Goal
5.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 12 matches
Charlotte Charlotte 12 matches
Orlando City SC Statistic Charlotte
2 Wins 7
2 Draws 2
8 Losses 3
13 Goals For 21
35 Goals Against 13
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
2.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
8 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 9
10 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
3.63 Shots On Goal 5.38
11.13 Total Shots 10.88
3.75 Corners 4.13
43.1% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Charlotte's more proactive style and Orlando City SC's more cautious structure. Orlando City SC appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Charlotte. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Charlotte carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 14 points while Orlando City SC sit 15 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Charlotte. Orlando City SC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Orlando City SC Analysis

Orlando City SC sit 15 with 4 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 6:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Ojeda (2 goals), M. Pasalic (2 goals), D. McGuire (1 goals), with creative support from I. Angulo (2 assists), Tiago (1 assists), G. Dorsey (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without W. Cartagena, J. Gerbet, D. McGuire, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.

Charlotte Analysis

Charlotte come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 14 points after 8 matches. With 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Biel (4 goals), A. Goodwin (3 goals), Idan Toklomati Jorno (3 goals), with creative support from P. Biel (2 assists), L. Abada (2 assists), Idan Toklomati Jorno (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Orlando City SC won 6 times, Charlotte won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:13 from Orlando City SC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.69 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
Predicted formations: Orlando City SC 4-2-3-1 / Charlotte 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Orlando City SC 7, Charlotte 2
H2H summary: Orlando City SC wins 6, draws 5, Charlotte wins 2
Stats
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
Charlotte Charlotte
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
2 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
428 Total passes 559
373 Passes accurate 512
0.90 expected_goals 1.57
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Orlando City SC
Formation
Charlotte
M. Crepeau
M. Crepeau
Z. Taifi
🎯
Z. Taifi
Iago Teodoro
Iago Teodoro
R. Jansson
R. Jansson
A. Gomez
A. Gomez
I. Angulo
🎯
I. Angulo
B. Ojeda
B. Ojeda
Luis Otavio
Luis Otavio
Tiago
Tiago
J. Ellis
🎯
J. Ellis
M. Ojeda
⚽ 2
M. Ojeda
K. Kahlina
K. Kahlina
N. Byrne
N. Byrne
M. Agyemang
M. Agyemang
A. Privett
A. Privett
H. Toffolo
H. Toffolo
A. Westwood
A. Westwood
L. de la Torre
L. de la Torre
R. Aloko
R. Aloko
P. Biel
🎯
P. Biel
W. Zaha
W. Zaha
I. Toklomati
I. Toklomati
Orlando City SC 5-3-2
Starting XI
71
M. Crepeau
G
19
Z. Taifi
🎯 21' ↓ 78'
D
57
Iago Teodoro
D
6
R. Jansson
D
3
A. Gomez
77
I. Angulo
🎯 87' ↓ 90+3' 🟨 24'
D
8
B. Ojeda
M
5
Luis Otavio
⚽ 21' ↓ 90+3' 🟨 41'
M
11
Tiago
↓ 74' 🟨 65'
M
22
J. Ellis
🎯 49' ↓ 90+3'
F
10
M. Ojeda
⚽ 49' ⚽ 61' 🟨 45+2'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Otero
G
21
N. Miller
D
34
Y. Tsukada
F
25
C. Guske
↑ 90+3'
M
65
G. Caraballo
F
29
T. Reid-Brown
↑ 74'
D
80
I. Gomez
⚽ 87' ↑ 78' 🟨 79'
M
44
B. Rhein
↑ 90+3'
F
23
H. Sarajian
↑ 90+3'
F
Charlotte 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
K. Kahlina
G
14
N. Byrne
D
44
M. Agyemang
⚽ 33'
4
A. Privett
D
15
H. Toffolo
↓ 80' 🟨 59'
D
8
A. Westwood
↓ 80' 🟨 41'
M
17
L. de la Torre
↓ 73'
M
37
R. Aloko
↓ 73'
M
16
P. Biel
🎯 33'
M
10
W. Zaha
M
9
I. Toklomati
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
21
T. Miller
G
23
D. Schnegg
↑ 80'
D
7
A. Goodwin
↑ 73'
F
18
K. A. Calderon Vargas
↑ 73'
F
25
T. Smalls
F
13
B. Bronico
↑ 73'
M
11
L. Abada
F
28
D. Diani
↑ 80'
M
39
J. Neeley
D
Last matches: Orlando City SC
23.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
2
6
L
16.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
4
3
W
09.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
0
2
L
02.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
4
3
W
25.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
DC United
2
3
L
18.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
12.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
05.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Los Angeles FC
0
6
L
21.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
5
L
14.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
2
1
W
07.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
0
5
L
02.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
22.02.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
15.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Colorado Rapids
1
4
L
11.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Lexington
1
2
L
Last matches: Charlotte
23.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
1
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
1
W
13.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
0
1
L
09.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
2
2
D
02.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
2
4
L
18.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
6
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Inter Miami
0
0
D
08.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Austin
3
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
21.02.26
Maj
Charlotte
St. Louis City
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
San Jose Earthquakes
0
1
L
31.01.26
Fri
Charlotte
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Charlotte
Charleston Battery
3
1
W
H2H: Orlando City SC vs Charlotte
22.04.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
4
1
W
05.07.25
H2H
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
2
2
D
14.05.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
3
1
W
09.11.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
1
1
D
01.11.24
H2H
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
0
0
D
27.10.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
2
0
W
19.09.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
2
0
W
19.06.24
H2H
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
2
2
D
30.08.23
H2H
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
09.05.23
H2H
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
1
0
L
18.03.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
1
2
L
21.08.22
H2H
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
1
2
W
30.04.22
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
2
1
W
Last matches: Orlando City SC
16.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
4
3
W
18.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
14.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
2
1
W
02.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
22.02.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
15.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Colorado Rapids
1
4
L
11.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Lexington
1
2
L
H2H at home: Orlando City SC
22.04.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
4
1
W
14.05.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
3
1
W
09.11.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
1
1
D
27.10.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
2
0
W
19.09.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
2
0
W
18.03.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
1
2
L
30.04.22
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
2
1
W
Last matches: Charlotte
02.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
2
4
L
18.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
2
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
21.02.26
Maj
Charlotte
St. Louis City
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
San Jose Earthquakes
0
1
L
31.01.26
Fri
Charlotte
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
H2H away: Charlotte
22.04.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
4
1
L
14.05.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
3
1
L
09.11.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
1
1
D
27.10.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
2
0
L
19.09.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
2
0
L
18.03.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
1
2
W
30.04.22
H2H
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
2
1
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 3 1 31:11 20 33
W W W D D
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
3 14 8 2 4 27:16 11 26
W W W L L
4 14 8 1 5 22:18 4 25
L W L W W
5 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
W D W W L
6 15 6 3 6 24:23 1 21
W W L D L
7 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
W D L D W
8 15 5 4 6 25:21 4 19
L D W W L
9 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D D L D W
10 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
W D L L L
11 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
D L D W L
12 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
L D W L W
13 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
L L L D L
14 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
L D L W W
15 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Orlando City SC 7 missing
-
W. Cartagena
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
J. Gerbet
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
E. Atuesta
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT
-
D. Brekalo
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
-
G. Dorsey
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
D. McGuire
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Pasalic
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
Charlotte 2 missing
-
H. Kessler
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
T. Ream
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT