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BRAZIL › SERIE B
12.07.2026 14:00
Estádio Germano Krüger
Referee: Y. Ferreira
Operario-PR
Match Timeline
Novorizontino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
4'
Pablo
Operario-PR
⚽
23'
Boschilia
Operario-PR
⚽
35'
Robson · Assist: Romulo
Novorizontino
🟨
51'
Reidiney
Novorizontino
⚽
61'
Boschilia
Operario-PR
🔄
65'
Reidiney ↔ Tavinho
Novorizontino
🔄
65'
Vinicius Paiva ↔ C. Ortiz
Novorizontino
🟨
67'
Pablo
Operario-PR
🔄
72'
Neto Paraiba ↔ Felipe Augusto
Operario-PR
🔄
75'
H. Pereira ↔ Aylon
Operario-PR
🟨
78'
Gabriel Boschilia
Operario-PR
🔄
78'
Leo Naldi ↔ Matheus Bianqui
Novorizontino
🔄
78'
Luis Oyama ↔ Carlao
Novorizontino
🔄
81'
Pablo ↔ Caio Dantas
Operario-PR
🔄
82'
Vinicius Diniz ↔ Indio
Operario-PR
🔄
87'
Romulo ↔ Ronald Barcellos
Novorizontino

Operario-PR vs Novorizontino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Operario-PR Win 37.8%
Draw 15%
Novorizontino Win 47.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Operario-PR1.1
Novorizontino1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WWDLW
20 GF / 17 GA
Novorizontino Novorizontino
WLDWL
27 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
7
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
9
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Operario-PR Operario-PR 16 matches
Novorizontino Novorizontino 16 matches
Operario-PR Statistic Novorizontino
8 Wins 8
4 Draws 6
4 Losses 2
20 Goals For 27
17 Goals Against 14
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
7 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 3
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.88
13.13 Total Shots 14.06
5.13 Corners 5.25
50.3% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Operario-PR expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Novorizontino in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Novorizontino having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Novorizontino. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Operario-PR Analysis

Operario-PR are currently 7 in the standings with 25 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 19:17 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Boschilia (6 goals), Pablo (4 goals), Aylon (1 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (3 assists), Aylon (2 assists), Boschilia (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Novorizontino Analysis

Novorizontino approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 30 points after 16 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a 27:14 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Robson (4 goals), Romulo (2 goals), Tavinho (2 goals), with creative support from Romulo (4 assists), Robson (2 assists), Juninho (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Operario-PR won 3 times, Novorizontino won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:10 from Operario-PR's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Operario-PR 4-4-1-1 / Novorizontino 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Operario-PR wins 3, draws 2, Novorizontino wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 37:19 18 59
W W W L L
2 32 17 7 8 44:31 13 58
D W W W D
3 32 16 9 7 54:27 27 57
W W D L D
4 32 15 11 6 37:27 10 56
W D D W D
5 32 15 8 9 33:28 5 53
L W W L L
6 32 14 10 8 40:30 10 52
L W W L W
7 32 15 6 11 49:45 4 51
W L W L W
8 32 13 11 8 44:34 10 50
W W L W L
9 32 13 9 10 44:43 1 48
L L D W D
10 32 11 14 7 32:25 7 47
D W L W D
11 32 13 6 13 32:40 -8 45
W L L W W
12 32 12 9 11 44:34 10 45
L W D W W
13 32 11 9 12 39:40 -1 42
L D W L D
14 32 11 9 12 35:39 -4 42
W W D W D
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 32 10 8 14 36:38 -2 38
W L W D L
17 32 9 6 17 32:43 -11 33
W L L L D
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 32 4 5 23 21:53 -32 17
L L L L L
20 32 3 4 25 17:68 -51 13
L L L W L
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