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SLOVENIA › 1. SNL
10.10.2026 18:15
Stadion Stozice
Referee: A. Bubek

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.82
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.98
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.7%
1.82 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.98 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Olimpija Ljubljana Win 68.7%
Draw 7.8%
Mura Win 23.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Olimpija Ljubljana1.55
Mura1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana
WWDLW
20 GF / 18 GA
Mura Mura
WLDWL
20 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
2.11
7
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 17 matches
Mura Mura 19 matches
Olimpija Ljubljana Statistic Mura
7 Wins 3
3 Draws 7
7 Losses 9
20 Goals For 20
18 Goals Against 40
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11
7 BTTS Yes 12
11 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Olimpija Ljubljana's more proactive style and Mura's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mura having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mura. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Mura arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Olimpija Ljubljana Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 14 points from 10 games, Olimpija Ljubljana bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 10:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Mura Analysis

Mura sit 9 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 10:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Olimpija Ljubljana won 8 times, Mura won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:7 from Olimpija Ljubljana's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
H2H summary: Olimpija Ljubljana wins 8, draws 5, Mura wins 2

Standings

1. SNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 19:8 11 20
D W D W W
2 10 5 3 2 11:8 3 18
W L W W W
3 10 5 3 2 12:10 2 18
W W D W L
4 10 4 2 4 10:8 2 14
L W W D W
5 10 3 4 3 16:11 5 13
D W D L L
6 10 4 1 5 17:16 1 13
L W W L L
7 9 3 3 3 11:11 0 12
D L L W L
8 10 3 2 5 14:18 -4 11
W L L W L
9
Mura Away
10 2 3 5 10:21 -11 9
D L D L L
10 9 1 2 6 9:18 -9 5
L L L D L
Qualifying
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation