06.10.2026 22:15
Estadio Manuel Ferreira
Referee: Derlis Lopez

Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.8%
Odds 2.00
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 2.15
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.8%
2.00 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
2.15 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20 ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
17.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Olimpia Win 60.8%
Draw 8.4%
Nacional Asuncion Win 30.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Olimpia1.34
Nacional Asuncion1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Olimpia Olimpia
WWDLW
58 GF / 32 GA
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
WLDWL
50 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.66
Average Goals Scored
1.47
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
18
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
14
5.21
Shots on Goal
4.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Olimpia Olimpia 35 matches
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 34 matches
Olimpia Statistic Nacional Asuncion
22 Wins 16
5 Draws 13
8 Losses 5
58 Goals For 50
32 Goals Against 29
1.66 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
18 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 26
18 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 4
13 Clean Sheets 13
5 Failed To Score 5
5.21 Shots On Goal 4.09
14.76 Total Shots 11.85
5.06 Corners 4.65
54% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Olimpia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Olimpia expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Nacional Asuncion in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nacional Asuncion having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nacional Asuncion. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Olimpia Analysis

Olimpia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 25 points after 12 outings. With 8 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:9, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Benitez (2 goals), R. Ortiz (2 goals), F. Cardozo (2 goals), with creative support from A. Rodríguez (2 assists), E. Delmás (2 assists), F. Alfonso (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Nacional Asuncion Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 22 points from 12 games, Nacional Asuncion bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a 19:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on H. Benítez (4 goals), I. Valdez (4 goals), L. Meza (2 goals), with creative support from H. Benítez (3 assists), O. Gaona (3 assists), J. Colmán (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Olimpia won 3 times, Nacional Asuncion won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:21 from Olimpia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Olimpia 4-3-3 / Nacional Asuncion 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Olimpia wins 3, draws 4, Nacional Asuncion wins 8

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 21:14 7 26
W L D W W
2 12 8 1 3 21:9 12 25
W W W W D
3 12 6 4 2 19:7 12 22
D W W L W
4 12 6 4 2 14:13 1 22
D L L W D
5 13 5 6 2 14:10 4 21
D W W D W
6 12 6 2 4 20:11 9 20
W L W L W
7 12 4 6 2 14:13 1 18
D D W W L
8 12 5 2 5 15:12 3 17
L W D W W
9 12 4 1 7 12:21 -9 13
L W L L D
10 12 2 3 7 13:23 -10 9
D L L L W
11 13 2 2 9 14:26 -12 8
L D L L L
12 13 0 3 10 4:22 -18 3
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)