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SERBIA › SUPER LIGA
26.04.2026 13:00
Omladinski Stadion
Referee: I. Stamenkovic
OFK Beograd
Match Timeline
Radnik Surdulica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Darije Markočević
Radnik Surdulica
🟨
16'
Miloš Popović
Radnik Surdulica
⚽
19'
E. Hoard · Assist: M. Gobeljic
OFK Beograd
🟨
21'
Mamadou Fall
OFK Beograd
⚽
39'
B. Duronjic · Assist: V. Bogdanovic
Radnik Surdulica
VAR
43'
Haris Hajdarević
Radnik Surdulica
🟨
44'
Aleksej Vukičević
OFK Beograd
🟨
45+3'
Uroš Filipović
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
46'
T. Wouter ↔ U. Stojanovic
OFK Beograd
🔄
46'
A. Vukicevic ↔ U. Kabic
OFK Beograd
🔄
46'
U. Filipovic ↔ M. Gasic
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
63'
B. Duronjic ↔ M. Stevanovic
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
63'
H. Hajdarevic ↔ S. Raskovic
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
63'
T. Lakic ↔ A. Milicevic
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
70'
E. Quarshie ↔ L. Stojanovic
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
72'
E. Hoard ↔ I. Dembele
OFK Beograd
🔄
81'
E. Prutsev ↔ J. Sljivic
OFK Beograd
🟨
83'
Aleksandar Pejović
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
87'
D. Y. Silue ↔ M. Pantovic
OFK Beograd
🟨
90+5'
Mateja Gašić
Radnik Surdulica

OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
OFK Beograd Win 28%
Draw 26.2%
Radnik Surdulica Win 45.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
OFK Beograd1.29
Radnik Surdulica1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
OFK Beograd OFK Beograd
WWDLW
44 GF / 40 GA
Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica
WLDWL
41 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
16
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
13
3.72
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 32 matches
Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 32 matches
OFK Beograd Statistic Radnik Surdulica
11 Wins 11
11 Draws 10
10 Losses 11
44 Goals For 41
40 Goals Against 37
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
16 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 10
3.72 Shots On Goal 4.03
10.94 Total Shots 12.19
4.06 Corners 4.5
51.9% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Radnik Surdulica's more proactive style and OFK Beograd's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Radnik Surdulica. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with OFK Beograd expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Radnik Surdulica in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Radnik Surdulica having the stronger overall control.

OFK Beograd Analysis

So far, OFK Beograd have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 40 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses, while the 39:39 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Enem (15 goals), P. Petrovic (6 goals), D. Y. Silue (4 goals), with creative support from Diogo Bezerra (8 assists), E. Prutsev (5 assists), A. Cvetkovic (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Radnik Surdulica Analysis

Radnik Surdulica are currently 8 in the standings with 39 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, while the 37:35 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Owusu Douglas (9 goals), Vukašin Bogdanović (7 goals), M. Novakovic (6 goals), with creative support from Mateja Gašić (4 assists), Aleksandar Pejović (3 assists), Haris Hajdarević (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, OFK Beograd won 0 times, Radnik Surdulica won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from OFK Beograd's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 0.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.8%)
Predicted formations: OFK Beograd 3-4-3 / Radnik Surdulica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: OFK Beograd wins 0, draws 3, Radnik Surdulica wins 1

Standings

Superliga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 27 5 5 100:31 69 86
L D L W W
2 37 23 7 7 66:35 31 76
W W W W D
3 37 22 7 8 72:45 27 73
W D D W L
4 37 16 11 10 50:37 13 59
D D D W D
5 37 14 10 13 46:54 -8 52
L D W L D
6 37 12 13 12 49:47 2 49
W L D L D
7 37 11 13 13 44:48 -4 46
L D D L D
8 37 10 15 12 47:50 -3 45
D D L L D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification