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12.09.2026 15:30
Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas
Referee: Francisco Gilabert, Chile
Nublense
Match Timeline
Everton de Vina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Vicente Guzmán
Nublense
⚽
23'
A. Medina
Everton de Vina
VAR
28'
Diego Oyarzún
Everton de Vina
🟨
35'
Ignacio Tapia
Nublense
🟨
37'
Manuel Rivera
Nublense
🟨
41'
Ignacio Jeraldino
Nublense
🔄
46'
M. Rivera ↔ D. Sanhueza
Nublense
🔄
46'
V. Guzman ↔ L. Molina Canto
Nublense
🔄
59'
I. Tapia ↔ M. Plaza
Nublense
🔄
59'
I. Jeraldino ↔ F. Rami
Nublense
🟨
62'
Pablo Calderón
Nublense
🔄
64'
J. Alfaro ↔ G. Charrupi
Everton de Vina
🔄
64'
E. M. Ramos Aviles ↔ J. Ovalle
Everton de Vina
🔄
73'
F. Campos Mosqueira ↔ E. Calderon
Nublense
⚽
74'
F. Ovelar · Assist: L. Molina Canto
Nublense
⚽
76'
J. Ovalle · Assist: N. Baeza
Everton de Vina
🔄
88'
L. Soto ↔ B. Martinez
Everton de Vina
🔄
89'
N. Montiel ↔ V. Fernandez
Everton de Vina
🔄
89'
N. Baeza ↔ H. Magallanes
Everton de Vina
🟥
90+1'
Osvaldo Bosso
Nublense
⚽
90'
A. Medina · Assist: B. Martinez
Everton de Vina

Nublense vs Everton de Vina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.5%
Odds 2.65
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.02
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.5%
2.65 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.02 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Nublense Win 36.6%
Draw 15.9%
Everton de Vina Win 47.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nublense1.27
Everton de Vina1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nublense Nublense
WWDLW
36 GF / 33 GA
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina
WLDWL
44 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
14
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
16
3.91
Shots on Goal
4.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nublense Nublense 28 matches
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 29 matches
Nublense Statistic Everton de Vina
12 Wins 11
9 Draws 8
7 Losses 10
36 Goals For 44
33 Goals Against 36
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
14 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 8
3.91 Shots On Goal 4.77
12.41 Total Shots 12.91
4.45 Corners 5.18
46.4% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Everton de Vina's more proactive style and Nublense's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nublense expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Everton de Vina in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Everton de Vina having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Everton de Vina. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Nublense Analysis

So far, Nublense have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 32 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, while the 26:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Sebastián Valencia (3 goals), M. Plaza (2 goals), I. Jeraldino (2 goals), with creative support from M. Plaza (4 assists), M. Rivera (1 assists), J. Campusano (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Everton de Vina Analysis

Everton de Vina come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 33 points after 21 matches. With 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 34:23, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Alan Medina (7 goals), Nicolás Montiel (6 goals), Julián Alfaro (3 goals), with creative support from Alan Medina (2 assists), Lucas Soto (2 assists), Braian Martínez (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Nublense won 4 times, Everton de Vina won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:11 from Nublense's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.77 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Nublense 3-5-2 / Everton de Vina 4-4-2
H2H summary: Nublense wins 4, draws 6, Everton de Vina wins 3

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
10 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L L W L
11 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
12 22 8 4 10 31:39 -8 28
W W D L L
13 23 8 3 12 28:36 -8 27
L W L L D
14 23 7 3 13 34:44 -10 24
W L W D L
15 23 6 4 13 17:39 -22 22
L L L W L
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L