Novorizontino vs São Bernardo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
50.9%
|
1.58 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.87 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.06 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.38 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Novorizontino
29 matches
São Bernardo
29 matches
| Novorizontino | Statistic | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 11 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 7 | Losses | 10 |
| 49 | Goals For | 40 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.28 | Shots On Goal | 4.34 |
| 15.17 | Total Shots | 11.93 |
| 6.24 | Corners | 4.76 |
| 48.5% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Novorizontino arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 50 points compared to São Bernardo in 13 on 38, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward São Bernardo. Novorizontino come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Novorizontino come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 50 points after 28 matches. They have recorded 14 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a 48:25 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Robson (9 goals), Romulo (7 goals), Matheus Bianqui (4 goals), with creative support from Romulo (7 assists), Robson (4 assists), Juninho (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
São Bernardo sit 13 with 38 points after 28 league matches. The record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 39:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Pedro Vitor (4 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (4 goals), Pedrinho (3 goals), with creative support from Romisson (4 assists), Pedro Vitor (3 assists), Eduardo (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino won 2 times, São Bernardo won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Novorizontino's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Novorizontino
Home
|
32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 57 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
| 4 | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 53 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 52 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 4 | 51 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 1 | 48 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 47 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 |
São Bernardo
Away
|
32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 13 | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 42 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | -2 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | -11 | 33 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | -32 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | -51 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
L
|