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BRAZIL › SERIE B
04.07.2026 19:00
Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
Referee: Afro Rocha De Carvalho Filho, Brazil
Novorizontino
Match Timeline
Atletico Goianiense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
⚽
34'
Luis Oyama · Assist: Reidiney
Novorizontino
🔄
46'
Leandro Vilela ↔ Assis
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
46'
Guilherme ↔ Gustavo Daniel
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
63'
Reidiney ↔ Juninho
Novorizontino
⚽
67'
Robson · Assist: Juninho
Novorizontino
🔄
70'
Bruno Jose ↔ Leo Jaco
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
70'
Ewerthon ↔ Felipe Guimaraes
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
74'
Leo Naldi ↔ Matheus Bianqui
Novorizontino
🔄
74'
Gabriel Bahia ↔ Ivan Alvarino
Novorizontino
⚽
81'
Romulo · Assist: Robson
Novorizontino
🔄
82'
Vinicius Paiva ↔ Nicolas Careca
Novorizontino
🔄
82'
Robson ↔ Carlao
Novorizontino
🔄
84'
Geovany Soares ↔ Gabriel Dias
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
88'
Nilson Castrillón
Novorizontino
🟨
90+3'
Juninho
Novorizontino

Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Novorizontino Win 62.8%
Draw 3.6%
Atletico Goianiense Win 33.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Novorizontino1.39
Atletico Goianiense1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Novorizontino Novorizontino
WWDLW
24 GF / 14 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
18 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
8
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
6
4.73
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Novorizontino Novorizontino 15 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 15 matches
Novorizontino Statistic Atletico Goianiense
7 Wins 5
6 Draws 6
2 Losses 4
24 Goals For 18
14 Goals Against 16
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
8 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 1
6 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
4.73 Shots On Goal 4.8
14.07 Total Shots 14.47
5.27 Corners 6
48.1% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Novorizontino's more proactive style and Atletico Goianiense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico Goianiense. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Novorizontino arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 27 points compared to Atletico Goianiense in 13 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Novorizontino Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 27 points from 15 games, Novorizontino bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a 24:14 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Robson (4 goals), Romulo (2 goals), Tavinho (2 goals), with creative support from Romulo (4 assists), Robson (2 assists), Juninho (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

From their first 14 matches, Atletico Goianiense have collected 18 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 16:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gustavo Coutinho (6 goals), Leo Jacó (3 goals), Guilherme Marques (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Geovany Soares (2 assists), Bruno José (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino won 1 times, Atletico Goianiense won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Novorizontino's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Novorizontino 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Novorizontino wins 1, draws 3, Atletico Goianiense wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 7 8 46:31 15 61
W D W W W
2 33 17 9 7 59:28 31 60
W W W D L
3 33 17 9 7 39:21 18 60
D W W W L
4 33 15 12 6 39:29 10 57
D W D D W
5 33 16 8 9 34:28 6 56
W L W W L
6 33 14 11 8 41:31 10 53
D L W W L
7 33 15 7 11 51:47 4 52
D W L W L
8 33 13 12 8 45:35 10 51
D W W L W
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 33 13 9 11 44:45 -1 48
L L L D W
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 33 12 10 11 46:36 10 46
D L W D W
13 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
14 33 11 9 13 35:40 -5 42
L W W D W
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 33 11 8 14 37:38 -1 41
W W L W D
17 33 10 6 17 33:43 -10 36
W W L L L
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 33 4 5 24 21:54 -33 17
L L L L L
20 33 3 4 26 18:73 -55 13
L L L L W
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