Notts County vs Oxford United Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
66%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Notts County
Oxford United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Notts County
12 matches
Oxford United
10 matches
| Notts County | Statistic | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 1 |
| 13 | Goals For | 23 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.3 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 3.29 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 12.29 | Total Shots | 11.17 |
| 4.43 | Corners | 4.33 |
| 45.1% | Ball Possession | 58% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Oxford United's more proactive style and Notts County's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Oxford United having the stronger overall control. Oxford United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 11 points while Notts County sit 20 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Oxford United.
Notts County approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 7 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 7:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on O. Cooper (2 goals), L. Smyth (2 goals), C. Roberts (1 goals), with creative support from N. Tsaroulla (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Oxford United have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 11 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 13:7 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Dembélé (2 goals), M. Harris (2 goals), G. O'Donkor (2 goals), with creative support from Kai Andrews (2 assists), S. Dembélé (1 assists), M. Harris (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Notts County won 0 times, Oxford United won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Notts County's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 14 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 7 | 13 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 12 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 12 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Oxford United
Away
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 11 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 10 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:18 | -10 | 8 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 |
Notts County
Home
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
| 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 22 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
L
|