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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
26.09.2026 14:00
Meadow Lane

Notts County vs Blackpool Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Notts County Win 56.6%
Draw 7.3%
Blackpool Win 36.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Notts County1.38
Blackpool1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Notts County Notts County
WWDLW
13 GF / 16 GA
Blackpool Blackpool
WLDWL
16 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
6
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
7
3.29
Shots on Goal
4.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Notts County Notts County 12 matches
Blackpool Blackpool 11 matches
Notts County Statistic Blackpool
2 Wins 3
5 Draws 2
5 Losses 6
13 Goals For 16
16 Goals Against 20
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
6 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 3
3.29 Shots On Goal 4.86
12.29 Total Shots 14.43
4.43 Corners 4.57
45.1% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Blackpool's more proactive style and Notts County's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Blackpool. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Notts County expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Blackpool in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Blackpool having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Notts County Analysis

Notts County sit 16 with 7 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, together with goals at 7:7, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through O. Cooper (2 goals), L. Smyth (2 goals), C. Roberts (1 goals), with creative support from N. Tsaroulla (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Blackpool Analysis

Blackpool sit 10 with 8 points after 6 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Bloxham (2 goals), J. Bowler (2 goals), D. Charles (1 goals), with creative support from T. Bloxham (1 assists), D. Charles (1 assists), B. Peacock-Farrell (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Notts County won 1 times, Blackpool won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Notts County's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: Notts County 3-4-2-1 / Blackpool 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Notts County wins 1, draws 0, Blackpool wins 1

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 16:11 5 16
W L W W W
2 8 5 1 2 8:5 3 16
D W W W L
3 8 4 3 1 14:7 7 15
W L D D W
4 7 4 2 1 13:6 7 14
D D W W W
5 8 4 1 3 17:10 7 13
W D L W L
6 8 3 4 1 13:11 2 13
D D W D W
7 8 3 3 2 17:10 7 12
D D W L W
8 9 3 3 3 14:15 -1 12
L W D L D
9 8 3 3 2 6:8 -2 12
D D W W L
10 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
D W W L W
11 8 3 1 4 13:11 2 10
L W L D W
12 8 2 4 2 13:16 -3 10
D W W D L
13 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
L W W D D
14 7 2 3 2 9:11 -2 9
D W L W D
15 7 2 2 3 13:13 0 8
L D L L W
16 7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L L D W L
17 7 2 2 3 10:13 -3 8
D D L L W
18 7 2 2 3 7:12 -5 8
D L L W W
19 7 2 2 3 8:18 -10 8
W D L L L
20 7 1 4 2 7:9 -2 7
L L D D W
21 7 1 3 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L D D
22 7 0 6 1 8:10 -2 6
D D D L D
23 8 1 2 5 4:13 -9 5
L L D L D
24 7 1 1 5 5:12 -7 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two