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Nõmme United
FT
2 - 1
Kuressaare
Referee: J. Jaanovits
Nõmme United
Match Timeline
Kuressaare
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
15'
Nõmme United
Nõmme United
⚽
31'
K. Laanelaid · Assist: H. Jarvelaid
Nõmme United
🟨
41'
O. Dacosta
Nõmme United
🔄
60'
O. Dacosta ↔ B. Chisala
Nõmme United
🔄
62'
A. Kivi ↔ G. Roivassepp
Kuressaare
🟥
71'
R. Saar
Kuressaare
⚽
77'
J. Vahermagi · Assist: R. Piil
Kuressaare
🔄
84'
R. Talu ↔ M. Leivategija
Kuressaare
🔄
86'
G. Kabal ↔ B. Vain
Nõmme United
🔄
86'
K. Laanelaid ↔ A. Truuvaart
Nõmme United
🔄
88'
E. Demidov ↔ A. Visse
Kuressaare
🟨
89'
K. Matas
Nõmme United
🟨
90+1'
G. Lagus
Nõmme United
🟨
90+5'
R. Piil
Kuressaare
⚽
90'
A. Frolov
Nõmme United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 92.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
92.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88.1%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nõmme United Win 61.7%
Draw 12.4%
Kuressaare Win 26%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nõmme United2.5
Kuressaare1.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nõmme United Nõmme United
WWDLW
38 GF / 40 GA
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WLDWL
20 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
2.53
Average Goals Scored
1.54
2.67
Average Goals Conceded
2.46
12
BTTS Yes
8
14
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nõmme United Nõmme United 15 matches
Kuressaare Kuressaare 13 matches
Nõmme United Statistic Kuressaare
6 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
7 Losses 7
38 Goals For 20
40 Goals Against 32
2.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
2.67 Avg Goals Conceded 2.46
12 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 11
14 Over 2.5 9
11 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Nõmme United won 2 times, Kuressaare won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Nõmme United's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.56 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
H2H summary: Nõmme United wins 2, draws 4, Kuressaare wins 3

Lineups

Nõmme United
Formation
Kuressaare
G. Purg
G. Purg
R. Chanda
R. Chanda
Y. Morishige
Y. Morishige
M. Palts
M. Palts
K. Laanelaid
⚽ ↓
K. Laanelaid
G. Kabal
↓
G. Kabal
A. Frolov
⚽
A. Frolov
H. Jarvelaid
🎯
H. Jarvelaid
Z. Beglarishvili
Z. Beglarishvili
O. Dacosta
↓
O. Dacosta
K. Matas
K. Matas
K. Nomm
K. Nomm
R. Saar
R. Saar
R. Piil
🎯
R. Piil
M. Lukka
M. Lukka
J. Vahermagi
⚽
J. Vahermagi
S. Sinilaid
S. Sinilaid
D. Andreas
D. Andreas
E. Demidov
↓
E. Demidov
R. Talu
↓
R. Talu
T. Jurisoo
T. Jurisoo
A. Kivi
↓
A. Kivi
Nõmme United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
71
G. Purg
55
R. Chanda
2
Y. Morishige
6
M. Palts
23
K. Laanelaid
⚽ 31' ↓ 86'
24
G. Kabal
↓ 86'
10
A. Frolov
⚽ 90'
45
H. Jarvelaid
🎯 31'
49
Z. Beglarishvili
16
O. Dacosta
↓ 60' 🟨 41'
20
K. Matas
🟨 89'
Substitutes
1
G. Lagus
🟨 90+1'
3
S. Merilai
4
A. Alteberg
8
B. Vain
↑ 86'
9
E. Ounapuu
11
B. Chisala
↑ 60'
12
M. Marmei
13
A. Truuvaart
↑ 86'
22
A. Radomskiy
26
K. Oostenbrink
Kuressaare 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
K. Nomm
23
R. Saar
🟥 71'
36
R. Piil
🎯 77' 🟨 90+5'
21
M. Lukka
68
J. Vahermagi
⚽ 77'
5
S. Sinilaid
8
D. Andreas
77
E. Demidov
↓ 88'
7
R. Talu
↓ 84'
11
T. Jurisoo
10
A. Kivi
↓ 62'
Substitutes
22
S. Ristna
13
A. Visse
↑ 88'
17
G. Roivassepp
↑ 62'
18
M. Dzemesjuk
25
J. Lonks
28
R. Lukas
37
M. Leivategija
↑ 84'
44
O. Joost
Last matches: Nõmme United
20.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
3
1
W
17.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
13.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
2
1
W
29.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
4
L
20.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
2
L
15.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
1
3
L
10.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
2
3
L
02.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
3
2
W
22.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
1
7
L
18.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
5
1
W
08.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
1
3
L
04.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
L
14.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
7
1
W
07.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
20.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Viimsi
5
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FC Tallinn
3
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
3
D
01.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
Last matches: Kuressaare
26.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
16.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
0
0
D
13.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
31.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
08.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
1
L
02.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
21.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
03.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
14.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Tallinna Kalev
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
3
3
D
31.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Vaprus
2
9
L
H2H: Nõmme United vs Kuressaare
20.05.26
H2H
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
L
25.04.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
1
W
07.02.26
H2H
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
3
3
D
19.01.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
L
28.09.24
H2H
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
4
1
L
01.09.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
2
D
16.06.24
H2H
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1
1
D
04.05.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
1
D
17.02.23
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
1
W
Last matches: Nõmme United
17.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
29.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
4
L
10.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
2
3
L
18.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
5
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
L
14.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
7
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FC Tallinn
3
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Tammeka
0
6
L
H2H at home: Nõmme United
25.04.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
1
W
01.09.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
2
D
04.05.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
1
D
17.02.23
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
1
W
Last matches: Kuressaare
26.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
13.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
31.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
08.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
08.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Vaprus
2
9
L
24.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Viimsi
2
3
L
H2H away: Kuressaare
25.04.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
1
L
01.09.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
2
D
04.05.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
1
D
17.02.23
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
1
L

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
FC Levadia Tallinn
18 13 4 1 46:15 31 43
L D W W W
2
Flora Tallinn
17 11 0 6 35:19 16 33
W L W L W
3
Kalju Nomme
18 9 4 5 30:15 15 31
D D L D L
4
Paide
18 8 5 5 27:22 5 29
D W W D D
5
Tammeka
16 7 2 7 18:20 -2 23
W W D L W
6
Vaprus
17 7 2 8 21:31 -10 23
W L D W L
7
Nõmme United Home
17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8
Laagri
17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9
Kuressaare Away
17 5 2 10 17:27 -10 17
L D W D W
10
Trans Narva
17 3 1 13 11:40 -29 10
L D L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga