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10.10.2026 16:00
Opus Arena

NK Osijek vs Istra 1961 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67%
Odds 1.97
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67%
1.97 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.69 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.1%
1.16 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
NK Osijek Win 67%
Draw 5.2%
Istra 1961 Win 27.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Osijek1.62
Istra 19611.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Osijek NK Osijek
WWDLW
31 GF / 25 GA
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
WLDWL
40 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.72
Average Goals Scored
2.35
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
9
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
14
5.75
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Osijek NK Osijek 18 matches
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 17 matches
NK Osijek Statistic Istra 1961
10 Wins 7
3 Draws 7
5 Losses 3
31 Goals For 40
25 Goals Against 25
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 2.35
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
9 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 11
7 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
5.75 Shots On Goal 5
17.5 Total Shots 13
4.25 Corners 4.25
53.5% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. NK Osijek arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 16 points compared to Istra 1961 in 6 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Istra 1961.

NK Osijek Analysis

NK Osijek come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 16 points from 8 matches. The record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 17:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Armando León (5 goals), Nail Omerović (5 goals), Jona Ježić (2 goals), with creative support from Domagoj Bukvić (2 assists), Armando León (1 assists), Luka Vrbančić (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Istra 1961 Analysis

So far, Istra 1961 have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 9 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 14:13 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Emil Frederiksen (7 goals), Dukan Ahmeti (1 goals), H. Jaganjac (1 goals), with creative support from Dukan Ahmeti (2 assists), Nik Škafar Žužić (2 assists), H. Jaganjac (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Osijek won 4 times, Istra 1961 won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from NK Osijek's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: NK Osijek 4-2-3-1 / Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NK Osijek wins 4, draws 3, Istra 1961 wins 8

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 17:9 8 16
W L W D W
2 8 5 1 2 16:8 8 16
L W W W W
3 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
D W L W L
4 8 4 3 1 13:7 6 15
D D D W L
5 7 4 2 1 13:7 6 14
W D W D W
6 8 2 3 3 14:13 1 9
L W D D L
7 8 2 1 5 11:16 -5 7
L D L L L
8 8 2 1 5 7:16 -9 7
D L W L W
9 8 1 2 5 5:12 -7 5
W D L D L
10 8 1 1 6 10:24 -14 4
D L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL