BELARUS › 1. DIVISION
10.10.2026 11:00
City Stadium

Niva vs Gomel II Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Niva Win 88%
Draw 4.3%
Gomel II Win 7.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Niva2.21
Gomel II1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Niva Niva
WWDLW
70 GF / 40 GA
Gomel II Gomel II
WLDWL
36 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
2.04
19
BTTS Yes
16
23
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Niva Niva 30 matches
Gomel II Gomel II 27 matches
Niva Statistic Gomel II
18 Wins 5
5 Draws 6
7 Losses 16
70 Goals For 36
40 Goals Against 55
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.04
19 BTTS Yes 16
26 Over 1.5 23
23 Over 2.5 18
14 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Niva's more proactive style and Gomel II's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gomel II. Niva arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 54 points compared to Gomel II in 17 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gomel II having the stronger overall control. Niva come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Niva Analysis

Niva come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 54 points after 26 matches. The return of 17 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 67:31, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Gomel II Analysis

Gomel II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 21 points from 26 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 36:52, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Niva won 2 times, Gomel II won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Niva's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Niva wins 2, draws 0, Gomel II wins 1

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 17 6 4 56:28 28 57
W W W W D
2
Niva Home
27 17 4 6 67:31 36 55
D W L W W
3 27 17 3 7 51:43 8 54
W W L W W
4 27 16 5 6 56:31 25 53
W W W L W
5 27 14 5 8 49:32 17 47
D W W D W
6 26 14 3 9 45:40 5 45
L W D W W
7 27 12 5 10 52:41 11 41
W D W L L
8 27 11 7 9 52:44 8 40
D W W W D
9 25 10 5 10 42:37 5 35
W D L W W
10 27 8 11 8 37:39 -2 35
D D L W W
11 27 10 4 13 40:50 -10 34
L L L L W
12 27 9 6 12 33:36 -3 33
W L W W D
13 27 9 3 15 37:50 -13 30
L L D L L
14 27 7 6 14 28:51 -23 27
D L L D L
15 26 6 8 12 25:35 -10 26
D L L D L
16 27 5 7 15 36:61 -25 22
D L L W L
17 27 5 6 16 36:55 -19 21
L L L L L
18 27 5 4 18 29:67 -38 19
L D D L L