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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
05.12.2026 15:00
St. James' Park

Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sunderland Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.48
Sunderland1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle Newcastle
WWDLW
20 GF / 25 GA
Sunderland Sunderland
WLDWL
16 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
11
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
4
4
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newcastle Newcastle 13 matches
Sunderland Sunderland 10 matches
Newcastle Statistic Sunderland
4 Wins 5
4 Draws 1
5 Losses 4
20 Goals For 16
25 Goals Against 14
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
11 BTTS Yes 5
13 Over 1.5 8
10 Over 2.5 4
6 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 4.71
11.67 Total Shots 14
4.67 Corners 5.57
51.8% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 3 times, Sunderland won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:21 from Newcastle's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Sunderland 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 3, draws 4, Sunderland wins 8

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 16:5 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 10:5 5 15
W L W W W
3 6 4 1 1 18:5 13 13
W W W D L
4 6 2 4 0 12:6 6 10
D W D D D
5 6 2 4 0 8:5 3 10
D W D D D
6 6 3 1 2 15:13 2 10
W L D L W
7 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
L D W D D
8 6 2 3 1 8:6 2 9
D L D D W
9 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
L W D W D
10 6 3 0 3 9:12 -3 9
W L W L L
11 6 2 2 2 10:13 -3 8
L W L D W
12 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
W D L W L
13 6 1 3 2 9:9 0 6
D D L D W
14 6 2 0 4 5:11 -6 6
W W L L L
15 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
L L W D D
16 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D W L D L
17 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L D W
18 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
L L D D D
19 6 0 3 3 3:9 -6 3
D L D D L
20 6 0 2 4 6:10 -4 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship